Belgian Pro League · 2025Full timeHistorical match
12Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRFC LiègeLommel SK
Shots18 shots 12 shots
Shots on target3 shots6 shots
Possession68% 32%
Corners11 corners 4 corners
Fouls13 fouls8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jason van Duiven · Lommel SK · 26′ · 0.00 xG · on targetKays Ruiz-Atil · RFC Liège · 39′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJonathan D'Ostilio · RFC Liège · 44′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Lefebvre · RFC Liège · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRalf Seuntjens · Lommel SK · 55′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedZalán Vancsa · Lommel SK · 69′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKylian Hazard · RFC Liège · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoey Pelupessy · Lommel SK · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKylian Hazard · RFC Liège · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Lefebvre · RFC Liège · 59′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKylian Hazard · RFC Liège · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedReno Wilmots · RFC Liège · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin van Duiven · Lommel SK · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Lefebvre · RFC Liège · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Hazard · RFC Liège · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedReno Wilmots · RFC Liège · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRalf Seuntjens · Lommel SK · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Yves Ngawa · RFC Liège · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Schoofs · Lommel SK · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEric N'jo · RFC Liège · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRalf Seuntjens · Lommel SK · 54′ · 0.05 xG · on targetReno Wilmots · RFC Liège · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedReno Wilmots · RFC Liège · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJonathan D'Ostilio · RFC Liège · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMartin Wasinski · RFC Liège · 48′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRobin van Duiven · Lommel SK · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTom Reyners · Lommel SK · 54′ · 0.08 xG · on targetZalán Vancsa · Lommel SK · 8′ · 0.10 xG · goalZalán Vancsa · Lommel SK · 18′ · 0.10 xG · goalKylian Hazard · RFC Liège · 29′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RFC Liège: 18 shots, 3 on target, 0.56 xG. Lommel SK: 12 shots, 6 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Kylian Hazard · RFC Liège · 29′Zalán Vancsa · Lommel SK · 8′Zalán Vancsa · Lommel SK · 18′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RFC Liège 0.56 xG · Lommel SK 0.50 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Lommel SK beat RFC Liège 2–1. Recorded in this match (RFC Liège – Lommel SK): shots 18–12, shots on target 3–6, possession 68%–32%, corners 11–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for RFC Liège, Lommel SK.

4 days Rest daysRFC Liège · Lommel SK4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRFC LiègeLommel SKBaseline
Rest days4 days4 days
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lommel SK show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lommel SK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRFC LiègeLommel SKBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

0RFC Liège
0Draws
1Lommel SK
Lommel SKRFC Liège · Belgian Pro League30

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Rest before fixture · Both teams: 4 days
1 matchMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

RFC Liège / Lommel SK

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Apr 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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