Primeira Liga · 2025Sun, 10 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

AVS - Futebol SAD

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3–1Full-time recap

FC Porto

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	AVS - Futebol SAD	FC Porto
Shots	9 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.75 xG/match	3.06 xG/match▲
Possession	31%	69%●
Corners	3 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	7 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

AVS - Futebol SAD: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.76 xG. FC Porto: 19 shots, 3 on target, 2.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AVS - Futebol SAD 0.76 xG · FC Porto 2.04 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AVS - Futebol SAD's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: FC Porto's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

AVS - Futebol SAD's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AVS - Futebol SAD's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	0.82 goals/match	1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Porto show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Porto's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match▲ShotsAVS - Futebol SAD · FC Porto14.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	AVS - Futebol SAD	FC Porto	Baseline
Shots	11.1 shots/match	14.7 shots/match	11.6 shots/match
Shots against	15.5 shots/match	9.43 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Porto have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.3%PossessionAVS - Futebol SAD · FC Porto●56%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	AVS - Futebol SAD	FC Porto	Baseline
Possession	39.3%	56%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0AVS - Futebol SAD

0Draws

3FC Porto

29 Dec 2025FC Porto — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga2–0

15 Mar 2025FC Porto — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga2–0

28 Oct 2024AVS - Futebol SAD — FC Porto · Primeira Liga0–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

AVS - Futebol SAD favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · FC Porto in 11 · 2 too close

0.82 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/35▲1.94 goals/match

2.03 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/35▲0.6 goals/match

0.91 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/34▲1.88 xG/match

1.86 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/34▲0.65 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/35▲14.7 shots/match

15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/35▲9.43 shots/match

3.12 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/35▲5.14 shots/match

5.39 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/35▲2.49 shots/match

39.3%Possessionseason · 33/35●56%

3.7 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/35●5.66 corners/match

5.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/35▲2.83 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/262.38 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3513.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/35▲60%

48%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/35▲97%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AVS - Futebol SAD2.6

FC Porto81.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AVS - Futebol SAD20.2

FC Porto86.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AVS - Futebol SAD3.5

FC Porto92.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AVS - Futebol SAD81.6

FC Porto65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AVS - Futebol SAD52.6

FC Porto26.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AVS - Futebol SAD15.8

FC Porto86.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AVS - Futebol SAD29.6

FC Porto75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

AVS - Futebol SAD33 matchesFC Porto35 matches

0.82 goals/matchGoals scored33/35▲1.94 goals/match

2.03 goals/matchGoals allowed33/35▲0.6 goals/match

0.91 xG/matchExpected goals33/34▲1.88 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots33/35▲14.7 shots/match

3.12 shots/matchShots on target33/35▲5.14 shots/match

39.3%Possession33/35●56%

3.7 corners/matchCorners33/35●5.66 corners/match

—Cards0/262.38 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls33/3513.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

AVS - Futebol SAD17 matchesFC Porto18 matches

0.88 goals/matchGoals scored17/18▲1.89 goals/match

1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed17/18▲0.83 goals/match

0.91 xG/matchExpected goals17/18▲1.91 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots17/18▲14.7 shots/match

3.59 shots/matchShots on target17/18▲5.17 shots/match

39.5%Possession17/18●55.4%

3.47 corners/matchCorners17/18●5.72 corners/match

—Cards0/142.64 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1813.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples33 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4