UEFA Champions League · 2023

Inter 2–1 Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Champions League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 2–1.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
2.380.47
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Red Bull Salzburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Inter – Red Bull Salzburg): shots 17–11, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 2.38–0.47, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Red Bull Salzburg12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterRed Bull SalzburgBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match15.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsInter 17 shots, Red Bull Salzburg 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsInter 3 shots, Red Bull Salzburg 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.38 xG0.47 xGInter 2.38 xG, Red Bull Salzburg 0.47 xG
  • Possession55%45%Inter 55%, Red Bull Salzburg 45%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersInter 4 corners, Red Bull Salzburg 4 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls15 foulsInter 3 fouls, Red Bull Salzburg 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Pavard · Inter · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Red Bull Salzburg · 67′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKristjan Asllani · Inter · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoko Šimić · Red Bull Salzburg · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuka Sučić · Red Bull Salzburg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaurits Kjaergaard · Red Bull Salzburg · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmar Dedić · Red Bull Salzburg · 46′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKarim Konaté · Red Bull Salzburg · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDavide Frattesi · Inter · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmar Dedić · Red Bull Salzburg · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 68′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Ulmer · Red Bull Salzburg · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOscar Gloukh · Red Bull Salzburg · 57′ · 0.07 xG · goalOscar Gloukh · Red Bull Salzburg · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOscar Gloukh · Red Bull Salzburg · 4′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCarlos Augusto · Inter · 33′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 9′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 56′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 79′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 56′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Sánchez · Inter · 19′ · 0.38 xG · goalHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 64′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 17 shots, 3 on target, 2.39 xG. Red Bull Salzburg: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Alexis Sánchez · Inter · 19′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 64′Oscar Gloukh · Red Bull Salzburg · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 2.39 xG · Red Bull Salzburg 0.47 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Salzburg in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter3 matchesRed Bull Salzburg3 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31 goal/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
2.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.51 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/312 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/34 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession3/345.7%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners3/33.67 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls3/315 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 24 Oct 2023, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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