PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Torino 0–3 Inter · Serie A

Torino

WDLDL
0–3Historical match

Inter

WWLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 0–3.

Shots
714
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.392.52
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Torino 3–0. Recorded in this match (Torino – Inter): shots 7–14, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.39–2.52, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Torino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsTorino · Inter17.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTorinoInterBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match17.1 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match9.56 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsTorino 7 shots, Inter 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsTorino 3 shots, Inter 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.39 xG2.52 xGTorino 0.39 xG, Inter 2.52 xG
  • Possession46%54%Torino 46%, Inter 54%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersTorino 2 corners, Inter 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsTorino 13 fouls, Inter 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSamuele Ricci · Torino · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStefan de Vrij · Inter · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Ricci · Torino · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStefan de Vrij · Inter · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStefan de Vrij · Inter · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDemba Seck · Torino · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 7′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPietro Pellegri · Torino · 43′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 59′ · 0.16 xG · goalSaba Sazonov · Torino · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 77′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 8′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 67′ · 0.64 xG · goalHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.41 xG. Inter: 14 shots, 4 on target, 2.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Marcus Thuram · Inter · 59′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 67′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 0.41 xG · Inter 2.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Torino
1Draws
3Inter
Torino — Inter · Serie A0–1
Inter — Torino · Serie A1–0
Torino — Inter · Serie A1–1
Inter — Torino · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino9 matchesInter9 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 2.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.56 goals/match
0.72 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 2.02 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 17.1 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 5.33 shots/match
49.8%Possession9/9● 55.6%
4.33 corners/matchCorners9/9● 5.44 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls9/910.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Oct 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTorinoInter
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headTorino — Inter
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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