PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

PSV Eindhoven 1–0 RC Lens · UEFA Champions League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 1–0.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
0.831.15
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat RC Lens 1–0. Recorded in this match (PSV Eindhoven – RC Lens): shots 14–15, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 0.83–1.15, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PSV Eindhoven's recent record differs from the season

weak

PSV Eindhoven's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.25 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.4% ●PossessionPSV Eindhoven · RC Lens44.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenRC LensBaseline
Possession58.4%44.3%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.9 shots/match ▲ShotsPSV Eindhoven · RC Lens12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenRC LensBaseline
Shots17.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsPSV Eindhoven 14 shots, RC Lens 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsPSV Eindhoven 7 shots, RC Lens 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG1.15 xGPSV Eindhoven 0.83 xG, RC Lens 1.15 xG
  • Possession46%54%PSV Eindhoven 46%, RC Lens 54%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersPSV Eindhoven 3 corners, RC Lens 7 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls10 foulsPSV Eindhoven 19 fouls, RC Lens 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Florian Sotoca · RC Lens · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHirving Lozano · PSV Eindhoven · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetElye Wahi · RC Lens · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHirving Lozano · PSV Eindhoven · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKevin Danso · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 37′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHirving Lozano · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHirving Lozano · PSV Eindhoven · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 69′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSalis Abdul Samed · RC Lens · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHirving Lozano · PSV Eindhoven · 41′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKevin Danso · RC Lens · 62′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHirving Lozano · PSV Eindhoven · 60′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 30′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 12′ · 0.12 xG · goalMorgan Guilavogui · RC Lens · 88′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 88′ · 0.56 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PSV Eindhoven: 14 shots, 7 on target, 0.85 xG. RC Lens: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Luuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 12′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PSV Eindhoven 0.85 xG · RC Lens 1.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0PSV Eindhoven
1Draws
0RC Lens
RC Lens — PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PSV Eindhoven favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PSV Eindhoven8 matchesRC Lens4 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/41 goal/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/4▲ 1 goal/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.11 xG/match
17.9 shots/match ▲Shots8/412.8 shots/match
6.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/43 shots/match
58.4% ●Possession8/444.3%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners8/45 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls8/413.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 9 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPSV EindhovenRC Lens
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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