PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Lens 1–0 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

RC Lens

WDDWD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 1–0.

Shots
148
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.081.13
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Lens beat Olympique de Marseille 1–0. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – Olympique de Marseille): shots 14–8, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.08–1.13, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique de Marseille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique de Marseille's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match14 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Lens have a visible home split

moderate

RC Lens's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.7 shots/match15 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsRC Lens 14 shots, Olympique de Marseille 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsRC Lens 3 shots, Olympique de Marseille 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG1.13 xGRC Lens 1.08 xG, Olympique de Marseille 1.13 xG
  • Possession47%53%RC Lens 47%, Olympique de Marseille 53%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersRC Lens 4 corners, Olympique de Marseille 5 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls15 foulsRC Lens 19 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonathan Clauss · Olympique de Marseille · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmine Harit · Olympique de Marseille · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuben Aguilar · RC Lens · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSamuel Gigot · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Clauss · Olympique de Marseille · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAmine Harit · Olympique de Marseille · 25′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 41′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Gradit · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalKevin Danso · RC Lens · 18′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 59′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 74′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAmine Harit · Olympique de Marseille · 66′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Gigot · Olympique de Marseille · 54′ · 0.25 xG · on targetPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.09 xG. Olympique de Marseille: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jonathan Gradit · RC Lens · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 1.09 xG · Olympique de Marseille 1.03 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RC Lens
0Draws
1Olympique de Marseille
RC Lens — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–1
Olympique de Marseille — RC Lens · Ligue 10–1
RC Lens — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–2
Olympique de Marseille — RC Lens · Ligue 12–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens12 matchesOlympique de Marseille11 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/111.09 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/111.18 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals12/11▲ 1.6 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots12/1114 shots/match
4.92 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/114.18 shots/match
52.9% ●Possession12/1150.5%
5.92 corners/match ●Corners12/115.18 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls12/119.82 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensOlympique de Marseille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headRC Lens — Olympique de Marseille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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