UEFA Champions League · 2023

Real Madrid 3–0 Sporting Braga · UEFA Champions League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 3–0.

Shots
189
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
3.251.43
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Sporting Braga 3–0. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Sporting Braga): shots 18–9, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 3.25–1.43, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sporting Braga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Braga's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.88 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.3 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Sporting Braga15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridSporting BragaBaseline
Shots20.3 shots/match15.6 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsReal Madrid 18 shots, Sporting Braga 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsReal Madrid 7 shots, Sporting Braga 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.25 xG1.43 xGReal Madrid 3.25 xG, Sporting Braga 1.43 xG
  • Possession48%52%Real Madrid 48%, Sporting Braga 52%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersReal Madrid 7 corners, Sporting Braga 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls7 foulsReal Madrid 11 fouls, Sporting Braga 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bruma · Sporting Braga · 48′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · Sporting Braga · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMoatasem Al-Musrati · Sporting Braga · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSimon Banza · Sporting Braga · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVítor Carvalho · Sporting Braga · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 71′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSikou Niakaté · Sporting Braga · 9′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNacho Fernández · Real Madrid · 47′ · 0.10 xG · on targetVítor Carvalho · Sporting Braga · 17′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 25′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 55′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 58′ · 0.17 xG · goalFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 65′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 64′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 55′ · 0.28 xG · on targetAbel Ruíz · Sporting Braga · 90′ · 0.31 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 20′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 27′ · 0.63 xG · goalRodrygo · Real Madrid · 61′ · 0.70 xG · goalÁlvaro Djaló · Sporting Braga · 6′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 18 shots, 7 on target, 3.24 xG. Sporting Braga: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Brahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 27′Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 58′Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 3.24 xG · Sporting Braga 1.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Madrid
0Draws
0Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga — Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting Braga in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid4 matchesSporting Braga8 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/81.88 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/81.38 goals/match
2.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.4 xG/match
20.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/815.6 shots/match
6.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/85.25 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession4/652.3%
9.25 corners/match ●Corners4/85.38 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/810.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 9 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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