UEFA Champions League · 2023Tue, 28 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricYoung BoysFK Crvena zvezda
Shots22 shots/match18 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.33 xG/match1.79 xG/match
Possession47%53%
Corners8 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match12 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Young Boys's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Young Boys show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Young Boys's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/matchShotsYoung Boys · FK Crvena zvezda14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricYoung BoysFK Crvena zvezdaBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against20 shots/match25.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Young Boys
1Draws
0FK Crvena zvezda
FK Crvena zvezdaYoung Boys · UEFA Champions League22

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Young Boys favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · FK Crvena zvezda in 5 · 2 too close

1.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/51 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/52.4 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.56 xG/match
2.99 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/52.75 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/514.4 shots/match
20 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/525.6 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/54.2 shots/match
7.14 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/58.4 shots/match
42%Possessionseason · 7/542.2%
3.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/55 corners/match
6.43 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/58.2 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/512.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
43%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/50%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Young Boys7.8
FK Crvena zvezda10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Young Boys25
FK Crvena zvezda40.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Young Boys11.8
FK Crvena zvezda2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Young Boys32.2
FK Crvena zvezda90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Young Boys86.2
FK Crvena zvezda63.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Young Boys6.5
FK Crvena zvezda42.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Young Boys31.5
FK Crvena zvezda51.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Young Boys7 matchesFK Crvena zvezda5 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/51 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/52.4 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.56 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots7/514.4 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target7/54.2 shots/match
42%Possession7/542.2%
3.29 corners/matchCorners7/55 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.9 fouls/matchFouls7/512.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Young Boys4 matchesFK Crvena zvezda3 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/30.67 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/32.67 goals/match
0.74 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.19 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots4/312.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/33 shots/match
43.8%Possession4/337.3%
4 corners/matchCorners4/33.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/312.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 29 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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