PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

RC Lens 2–1 Sevilla · UEFA Champions League

RC Lens

DWDLL
2–1Historical match

Sevilla

DDLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 2–1.

Shots
310
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.361.26
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Lens beat Sevilla 2–1. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – Sevilla): shots 3–10, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.36–1.26, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla have a visible away split

weak

Sevilla's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match8.83 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Lens · Sevilla8.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC LensSevillaBaseline
Shots10 shots/match8.83 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots10 shotsRC Lens 3 shots, Sevilla 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsRC Lens 2 shots, Sevilla 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG1.26 xGRC Lens 1.36 xG, Sevilla 1.26 xG
  • Possession35%65%RC Lens 35%, Sevilla 65%
  • Corners0 corners7 cornersRC Lens 0 corners, Sevilla 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsRC Lens 11 fouls, Sevilla 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Elye Wahi · RC Lens · 3′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Sow · Sevilla · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIvan Rakitić · Sevilla · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIvan Rakitić · Sevilla · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIvan Rakitić · Sevilla · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 8′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 69′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSergio Ramos · Sevilla · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdrià Pedrosa · Sevilla · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSergio Ramos · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.55 xG · goalPrzemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 63′ · 0.82 xG · goalSergio Ramos · Sevilla · 79′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 3 shots, 2 on target, 1.37 xG. Sevilla: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Przemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 63′Angelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 90′Sergio Ramos · Sevilla · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 1.37 xG · Sevilla 1.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0RC Lens
1Draws
0Sevilla
Sevilla — RC Lens · UEFA Champions League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens6 matchesSevilla6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals6/60.99 xG/match
10 shots/match ▲Shots6/68.83 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 3 shots/match
44%Possession6/6● 48.7%
3.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.83 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls6/612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 12 Dec 2023, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensSevilla
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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