UEFA Champions League · 2024

Bologna 2–1 Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League

Bologna

LLLLD
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 2–1.

Shots
173
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.980.97
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Borussia Dortmund 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Borussia Dortmund): shots 17–3, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.98–0.97, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.43 goals/match1.69 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible away split

weak

Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots3 shotsBologna 17 shots, Borussia Dortmund 3 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsBologna 6 shots, Borussia Dortmund 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.98 xG0.97 xGBologna 1.98 xG, Borussia Dortmund 0.97 xG
  • Possession53%47%Bologna 53%, Borussia Dortmund 47%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersBologna 6 corners, Borussia Dortmund 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls18 foulsBologna 15 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Charalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 69′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDan Ndoye · Bologna · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Reyna · Borussia Dortmund · 17′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 68′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 83′ · 0.16 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 72′ · 0.23 xG · on targetSamuel Iling Junior · Bologna · 72′ · 0.31 xG · goalDan Ndoye · Bologna · 51′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 71′ · 0.50 xG · goalSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 15′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.10 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 3 shots, 2 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Thijs Dallinga · Bologna · 71′Samuel Iling Junior · Bologna · 72′Serhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 15′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 2.10 xG · Borussia Dortmund 1.02 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna7 matchesBorussia Dortmund7 matches
0.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.71 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.92 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 6.29 shots/match
50.3%Possession7/7● 56%
4.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5.86 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/711.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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