PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

FK Crvena zvezda 2–3 PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 2–3.

Shots
2114
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.841.03
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat FK Crvena zvezda 3–2. Recorded in this match (FK Crvena zvezda – PSV Eindhoven): shots 21–14, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.84–1.03, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFK Crvena zvezda · PSV Eindhoven18.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFK Crvena zvezdaPSV EindhovenBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match18.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FK Crvena zvezda's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FK Crvena zvezda's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.69 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

PSV Eindhoven have a visible away split

weak

PSV Eindhoven's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season18.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match18.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots14 shotsFK Crvena zvezda 21 shots, PSV Eindhoven 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsFK Crvena zvezda 7 shots, PSV Eindhoven 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.84 xG1.03 xGFK Crvena zvezda 2.84 xG, PSV Eindhoven 1.03 xG
  • Possession57%43%FK Crvena zvezda 57%, PSV Eindhoven 43%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersFK Crvena zvezda 7 corners, PSV Eindhoven 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsFK Crvena zvezda 10 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Olivier Boscagli · PSV Eindhoven · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMirko Ivanić · FK Crvena zvezda · 61′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNasser Djiga · FK Crvena zvezda · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Boscagli · PSV Eindhoven · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUroš Spajić · FK Crvena zvezda · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCherif Ndiaye · FK Crvena zvezda · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 17′ · 0.04 xG · goalNemanja Radonjić · FK Crvena zvezda · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Radonjić · FK Crvena zvezda · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTimi Max Elšnik · FK Crvena zvezda · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBruno Duarte · FK Crvena zvezda · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJerdy Schouten · PSV Eindhoven · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 43′ · 0.06 xG · goalRade Krunić · FK Crvena zvezda · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCherif Ndiaye · FK Crvena zvezda · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 14′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTimi Max Elšnik · FK Crvena zvezda · 61′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAndrija Maksimović · FK Crvena zvezda · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Radonjić · FK Crvena zvezda · 56′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 88′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMilson · FK Crvena zvezda · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSilas · FK Crvena zvezda · 62′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMirko Ivanić · FK Crvena zvezda · 38′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedOgnjen Mimović · FK Crvena zvezda · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNasser Djiga · FK Crvena zvezda · 77′ · 0.15 xG · goalLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 23′ · 0.28 xG · goalSilas · FK Crvena zvezda · 69′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedCherif Ndiaye · FK Crvena zvezda · 13′ · 0.38 xG · on targetCherif Ndiaye · FK Crvena zvezda · 71′ · 0.60 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FK Crvena zvezda: 21 shots, 7 on target, 2.66 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 13 shots, 5 on target, 0.83 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Cherif Ndiaye · FK Crvena zvezda · 71′Nasser Djiga · FK Crvena zvezda · 77′Luuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 17′Luuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 23′Ryan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FK Crvena zvezda 2.66 xG · PSV Eindhoven 0.83 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Crvena zvezda favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Crvena zvezda9 matchesPSV Eindhoven7 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored9/7▲ 1.86 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/7▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.61 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots9/7▲ 18.7 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target9/7▲ 7.71 shots/match
41.4%Possession9/7● 56.1%
4.44 corners/matchCorners9/7● 5.86 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls9/710.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK Crvena zvezdaPSV Eindhoven
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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