PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Aston Villa 3–0 Club Brugge KV · UEFA Champions League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 3–0.

Shots
144
Shots on target
101
Expected goals
2.450.12
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat Club Brugge KV 3–0. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Club Brugge KV): shots 14–4, shots on target 10–1, expected goals 2.45–0.12, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Aston Villa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aston Villa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.9 goals/match1.6 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Club Brugge KV show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Club Brugge KV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsAston Villa · Club Brugge KV10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAston VillaClub Brugge KVBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots4 shotsAston Villa 14 shots, Club Brugge KV 4 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots1 shotAston Villa 10 shots, Club Brugge KV 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.45 xG0.12 xGAston Villa 2.45 xG, Club Brugge KV 0.12 xG
  • Possession53%47%Aston Villa 53%, Club Brugge KV 47%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerAston Villa 3 corners, Club Brugge KV 1 corner
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsAston Villa 7 fouls, Club Brugge KV 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kyriani Sabbe · Club Brugge KV · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChemsdine Talbi · Club Brugge KV · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Aston Villa · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaphael Onyedika · Club Brugge KV · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIan Maatsen · Aston Villa · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 19′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTyrone Mings · Aston Villa · 49′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMarcus Rashford · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 70′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Aston Villa · 50′ · 0.31 xG · goalIan Maatsen · Aston Villa · 57′ · 0.47 xG · goalMarco Asensio · Aston Villa · 54′ · 0.59 xG · on targetMarco Asensio · Aston Villa · 61′ · 0.63 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Aston Villa: 14 shots, 10 on target, 2.53 xG. Club Brugge KV: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Marco Asensio · Aston Villa · 50′Ian Maatsen · Aston Villa · 57′Marco Asensio · Aston Villa · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 2.53 xG · Club Brugge KV 0.12 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Aston Villa
0Draws
1Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV — Aston Villa · UEFA Champions League1–3
Club Brugge KV — Aston Villa · UEFA Champions League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Club Brugge KV in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa10 matchesClub Brugge KV12 matches
1.9 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/121.08 goals/match
0.7 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/121.58 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/120.97 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots10/1210.3 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/123.75 shots/match
50.7% ●Possession10/1243.8%
4 corners/match ●Corners10/122.92 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls10/128.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 13 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAston VillaClub Brugge KV
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
Head-to-headAston Villa — Club Brugge KV
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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