UEFA Champions League · 2024Sat, 31 May 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Paris Saint-Germain

WWLWW

5–0Full-time recap

Inter

WWDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Paris Saint-Germain	Inter
Shots	23 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	3.12 xG/match▲	0.49 xG/match
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	4 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	13 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 23 shots, 8 on target, 3.14 xG. Inter: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 3.14 xG · Inter 0.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Paris Saint-Germain's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.9 shots/match▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · Inter12.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Paris Saint-Germain	Inter	Baseline
Shots	18.9 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	10.1 shots/match	15.8 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Paris Saint-Germain have a visible home split

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

23.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season18.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	23.3 shots/match	18.9 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

weak

Inter's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.67 goals/match	1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Paris Saint-Germain favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Inter in 1 · 3 too close

2.24 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 17/151.67 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 17/151.07 goals/match

2.15 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 17/151.65 xG/match

1.1 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 17/151.36 xG/match

18.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 17/1512.1 shots/match

10.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 17/1515.8 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 17/154.47 shots/match

3.47 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 17/154.73 shots/match

61.6%●Possessionseason · 17/1546.7%

6.18 corners/match●Cornersseason · 17/153.2 corners/match

3.76 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 17/155 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/159.53 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

41%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/15▲53%

82%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Paris Saint-Germain91

Inter32.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Paris Saint-Germain94.5

Inter46.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Paris Saint-Germain89

Inter52.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Paris Saint-Germain83.3

Inter47.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint-Germain11.5

Inter16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint-Germain83.3

Inter9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Paris Saint-Germain71.5

Inter28.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain17 matchesInter15 matches

2.24 goals/match▲Goals scored17/151.67 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/151.07 goals/match

2.15 xG/match▲Expected goals17/151.65 xG/match

18.9 shots/match▲Shots17/1512.1 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target17/154.47 shots/match

61.6%●Possession17/1546.7%

6.18 corners/match●Corners17/153.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.12 fouls/matchFouls17/159.53 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Paris Saint-Germain9 matchesInter8 matches

2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/81.13 goals/match

0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/81.25 goals/match

2.41 xG/match▲Expected goals9/81.2 xG/match

23.3 shots/match▲Shots9/811 shots/match

8.22 shots/match▲Shots on target9/83.75 shots/match

64.1%●Possession9/846.9%

7.67 corners/match●Corners9/82.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls9/87.88 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/125 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples17 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4