PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Le Havre 2–1 Clermont Foot · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Le Havre won 2–1.

Shots
911
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.310.86
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Le Havre beat Clermont Foot 2–1. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – Clermont Foot): shots 9–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.31–0.86, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Clermont Foot's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Clermont Foot's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Le Havre have a visible home split

weak

Le Havre's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Le Havre show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsLe Havre · Clermont Foot14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreClermont FootBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match14 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match9.67 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsLe Havre 9 shots, Clermont Foot 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsLe Havre 3 shots, Clermont Foot 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG0.86 xGLe Havre 1.31 xG, Clermont Foot 0.86 xG
  • Possession32%68%Le Havre 32%, Clermont Foot 68%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersLe Havre 1 corner, Clermont Foot 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls17 foulsLe Havre 15 fouls, Clermont Foot 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Christopher Operi · Le Havre · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMuhammed-Cham Saračević · Clermont Foot · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCheick Oumar Konaté · Clermont Foot · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoann Salmier · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedShamar Nicholson · Clermont Foot · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Zeffane · Clermont Foot · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMuhammed-Cham Saračević · Clermont Foot · 31′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYohann Magnin · Clermont Foot · 37′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCheick Oumar Konaté · Clermont Foot · 45′ · 0.06 xG · goalJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 63′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 2′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMuhammed-Cham Saračević · Clermont Foot · 29′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 34′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYohann Magnin · Clermont Foot · 8′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMuhammed-Cham Saračević · Clermont Foot · 79′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBilal Boutobba · Clermont Foot · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 68′ · 0.20 xG · on targetNabil Alioui · Le Havre · 4′ · 0.27 xG · goalMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 7′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.30 xG. Clermont Foot: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nabil Alioui · Le Havre · 4′Mohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 7′Cheick Oumar Konaté · Clermont Foot · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 1.30 xG · Clermont Foot 0.86 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Clermont Foot in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre6 matchesClermont Foot6 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.14 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.17 shots/match
42.3%Possession6/6● 60.7%
2.67 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.17 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls6/611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLe HavreClermont Foot
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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