PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Lens 4–0 Nantes · Ligue 1

RC Lens

LWWDD
4–0Historical match

Nantes

WWLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 4–0.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
3.911.01
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Lens beat Nantes 4–0. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – Nantes): shots 11–11, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 3.91–1.01, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Lens have a visible home split

moderate

RC Lens's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.6 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

RC Lens show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RC Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Lens · Nantes11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC LensNantesBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsRC Lens 11 shots, Nantes 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotRC Lens 7 shots, Nantes 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.91 xG1.01 xGRC Lens 3.91 xG, Nantes 1.01 xG
  • Possession54%46%RC Lens 54%, Nantes 46%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerRC Lens 4 corners, Nantes 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsRC Lens 12 fouls, Nantes 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Quentin Merlin · Nantes · 11′ · 0.00 xG · on targetMoses Simon · Nantes · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Moutoussamy · Nantes · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 16′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSamuel Moutoussamy · Nantes · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdson · Nantes · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · RC Lens · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 85′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Medina · RC Lens · 58′ · 0.09 xG · goalMatthis Abline · Nantes · 31′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 24′ · 0.19 xG · on targetNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 85′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Moutoussamy · Nantes · 36′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 29′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 40′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 61′ · 0.57 xG · on targetNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 89′ · 0.72 xG · goalFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 27′ · 0.82 xG · goalFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 72′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 11 shots, 7 on target, 4.01 xG. Nantes: 11 shots, 1 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Florian Sotoca · RC Lens · 27′Facundo Medina · RC Lens · 58′Florian Sotoca · RC Lens · 72′Neil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 4.01 xG · Nantes 1.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Lens
2Draws
1Nantes
RC Lens — Nantes · Ligue 13–1
Nantes — RC Lens · Ligue 10–0
RC Lens — Nantes · Ligue 12–2
Nantes — RC Lens · Ligue 13–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens10 matchesNantes10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.24 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match
4.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.3 shots/match
53.1% ●Possession10/1044.2%
6.2 corners/match ●Corners10/104.2 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensNantes
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headRC Lens — Nantes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required