PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Nice 2–0 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

Nice

WDWWW
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice won 2–0.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.640.8
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice beat Stade Rennais 2–0. Recorded in this match (Nice – Stade Rennais): shots 15–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.64–0.8, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Rennais's recent record differs from the season

weak

Stade Rennais's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Rennais have a visible away split

moderate

Stade Rennais's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match15.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsNice 15 shots, Stade Rennais 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsNice 3 shots, Stade Rennais 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.64 xG0.8 xGNice 1.64 xG, Stade Rennais 0.8 xG
  • Possession46%54%Nice 46%, Stade Rennais 54%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerNice 2 corners, Stade Rennais 1 corner
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsNice 7 fouls, Stade Rennais 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nice
1Draws
1Stade Rennais
Nice — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–1
Stade Rennais — Nice · Ligue 12–1
Nice — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1
Stade Rennais — Nice · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice11 matchesStade Rennais11 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.45 goals/match
0.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.36 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.55 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 15.7 shots/match
4.64 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 5.64 shots/match
51.9%Possession11/11● 57.1%
4.27 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.09 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Nov 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNiceStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headNice — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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