PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Paris Saint-Germain 5–2 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

5–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 5–2.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
117
Expected goals
2.591.56
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat AS Monaco 5–2. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – AS Monaco): shots 16–14, shots on target 11–7, expected goals 2.59–1.56, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Monaco's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Monaco's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.08 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.8% ●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · AS Monaco55%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainAS MonacoBaseline
Possession67.8%55%50.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsParis Saint-Germain 16 shots, AS Monaco 14 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots7 shotsParis Saint-Germain 11 shots, AS Monaco 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.59 xG1.56 xGParis Saint-Germain 2.59 xG, AS Monaco 1.56 xG
  • Possession54%46%Paris Saint-Germain 54%, AS Monaco 46%
  • Corners2 corners10 cornersParis Saint-Germain 2 corners, AS Monaco 10 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls19 foulsParis Saint-Germain 9 fouls, AS Monaco 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 18′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSoungoutou Magassa · AS Monaco · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNordi Mukiele · Paris Saint-Germain · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Hernández · Paris Saint-Germain · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 17′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 22′ · 0.05 xG · goalAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 27′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 72′ · 0.06 xG · goalDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 70′ · 0.07 xG · goalWissam Ben Yedder · AS Monaco · 89′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRandal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.12 xG · goalSoungoutou Magassa · AS Monaco · 11′ · 0.14 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 47′ · 0.17 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 33′ · 0.19 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 75′ · 0.24 xG · goalManuel Ugarte · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.27 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 18′ · 0.30 xG · goalTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 45′ · 0.46 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 8′ · 0.47 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 39′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 16 shots, 11 on target, 2.66 xG. AS Monaco: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Gonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 18′Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 39′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 70′Vitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 72′Randal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′Takumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 22′Folarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 2.66 xG · AS Monaco 1.57 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Paris Saint-Germain
1Draws
2AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–1
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 13–0
Paris Saint-Germain — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain13 matchesAS Monaco13 matches
2.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/132.08 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.46 goals/match
2.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.47 xG/match
16.6 shots/match ▲Shots13/1314.7 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/136.54 shots/match
67.8% ●Possession13/1355%
5.31 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.92 corners/match
9.85 fouls/matchFouls13/1315.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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