Ligue 1 · 2023Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 19:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Olympique Lyonnais

LDLDW

0–2Full-time recap

Lille

DWWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Olympique Lyonnais	Lille
Shots	11 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.92 xG/match▲	1.48 xG/match
Possession	48%	52%●
Corners	3 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	17 fouls/match	5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Olympique Lyonnais: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.88 xG. Lille: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique Lyonnais 1.88 xG · Lille 1.46 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Olympique Lyonnais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Olympique Lyonnais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Olympique Lyonnais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique Lyonnais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.75 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Olympique Lyonnais show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Olympique Lyonnais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match▲ShotsOlympique Lyonnais · Lille12.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Olympique Lyonnais	Lille	Baseline
Shots	13.9 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	12.9 shots/match
Shots against	13.3 shots/match	8.77 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Olympique Lyonnais

2Draws

1Lille

10 Mar 2023Lille — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 13–3

30 Oct 2022Olympique Lyonnais — Lille · Ligue 11–0

27 Feb 2022Olympique Lyonnais — Lille · Ligue 10–1

12 Dec 2021Lille — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Olympique Lyonnais favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Lille in 7 · 4 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/13▲1.31 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/13▲0.85 goals/match

1.3 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/131.36 xG/match

1.76 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/13▲0.92 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1312.5 shots/match

13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/13▲8.77 shots/match

5.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/135.23 shots/match

5.08 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/13▲3.54 shots/match

53%Possessionseason · 12/13●57%

5.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/13●5.31 corners/match

4.08 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/134.46 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1311.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/13▲54%

58%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/13▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Olympique Lyonnais69.4

Lille91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Olympique Lyonnais47.2

Lille58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Olympique Lyonnais28.7

Lille92.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Olympique Lyonnais52.8

Lille8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Olympique Lyonnais97.2

Lille25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Olympique Lyonnais52.8

Lille61.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Olympique Lyonnais70.8

Lille49.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Olympique Lyonnais12 matchesLille13 matches

0.75 goals/matchGoals scored12/13▲1.31 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed12/13▲0.85 goals/match

1.3 xG/matchExpected goals12/131.36 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shots12/1312.5 shots/match

5.08 shots/matchShots on target12/135.23 shots/match

53%Possession12/13●57%

5.17 corners/matchCorners12/13●5.31 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1311.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Olympique Lyonnais7 matchesLille7 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.29 goals/match

2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.14 goals/match

1.58 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.17 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots7/712.7 shots/match

5.57 shots/match▲Shots on target7/75.14 shots/match

54.3%Possession7/7●57.4%

5.57 corners/match●Corners7/75.29 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.1 fouls/matchFouls7/710.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.2 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4