PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Lens 3–2 Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1

RC Lens

DWDWW
3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 3–2.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
2.12.73
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Lens beat Olympique Lyonnais 3–2. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – Olympique Lyonnais): shots 10–12, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 2.1–2.73, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Lens have a visible home split

moderate

RC Lens's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match14.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.2 fouls/matchFoulsRC Lens · Olympique Lyonnais15.4 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRC LensOlympique LyonnaisBaseline
Fouls14.2 fouls/match15.4 fouls/match12.2 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsRC Lens 10 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsRC Lens 7 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.1 xG2.73 xGRC Lens 2.1 xG, Olympique Lyonnais 2.73 xG
  • Possession52%48%RC Lens 52%, Olympique Lyonnais 48%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersRC Lens 3 corners, Olympique Lyonnais 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsRC Lens 11 fouls, Olympique Lyonnais 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Skelly Alvero · Olympique Lyonnais · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Medina · RC Lens · 46′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSkelly Alvero · Olympique Lyonnais · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedClinton Mata · Olympique Lyonnais · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJake O'Brien · Olympique Lyonnais · 32′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 41′ · 0.07 xG · on targetPrzemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 74′ · 0.07 xG · goalDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 20′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 39′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFacundo Medina · RC Lens · 65′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDiego Moreira · Olympique Lyonnais · 2′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 71′ · 0.21 xG · on targetDiego Moreira · Olympique Lyonnais · 59′ · 0.25 xG · on targetAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 68′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedKevin Danso · RC Lens · 65′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Tagliafico · Olympique Lyonnais · 81′ · 0.36 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 26′ · 0.38 xG · goalJake O'Brien · Olympique Lyonnais · 15′ · 0.55 xG · goalPrzemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 52′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 10 shots, 7 on target, 2.14 xG. Olympique Lyonnais: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.80 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Wesley Saïd · RC Lens · 26′Przemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 52′Przemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 74′Jake O'Brien · Olympique Lyonnais · 15′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 2.14 xG · Olympique Lyonnais 1.80 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Lens
1Draws
2Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais — RC Lens · Ligue 12–1
RC Lens — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–0
RC Lens — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–1
Olympique Lyonnais — RC Lens · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens14 matchesOlympique Lyonnais13 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/130.85 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/131.85 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/131.41 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots14/1313.8 shots/match
5.43 shots/matchShots on target14/135.23 shots/match
52.8% ●Possession14/1352.6%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners14/135.23 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1315.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Dec 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensOlympique Lyonnais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headRC Lens — Olympique Lyonnais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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