PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Le Havre 0–2 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 0–2.

Shots
229
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.041.18
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Le Havre 2–0. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 22–9, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.04–1.18, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.6%PossessionLe Havre · Paris Saint-Germain● 65.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession43.6%65.7%51.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Le Havre have a visible home split

moderate

Le Havre's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots9 shotsLe Havre 22 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsLe Havre 7 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.04 xG1.18 xGLe Havre 2.04 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.18 xG
  • Possession61%39%Le Havre 61%, Paris Saint-Germain 39%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersLe Havre 9 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsLe Havre 11 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Sabbi · Le Havre · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Operi · Le Havre · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 51′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNabil Alioui · Le Havre · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′ · 0.04 xG · goalChristopher Operi · Le Havre · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 48′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Joujou · Le Havre · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Joujou · Le Havre · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArouna Sangante · Le Havre · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNabil Alioui · Le Havre · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNabil Alioui · Le Havre · 78′ · 0.09 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 23′ · 0.10 xG · goalMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 58′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNabil Alioui · Le Havre · 78′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 7′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 52′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 85′ · 0.25 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 70′ · 0.27 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 88′ · 0.27 xG · on targetJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 42′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 20′ · 0.35 xG · on targetMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 81′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 22 shots, 6 on target, 2.04 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 23′Vitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 2.04 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 1.20 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre14 matchesParis Saint-Germain14 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 2.57 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 2.17 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 16.1 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target14/13▲ 6.85 shots/match
43.6%Possession14/14● 65.7%
4 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.07 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls14/149.79 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Dec 2023, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLe HavreParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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