PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Lille 2–0 Metz · Ligue 1

Lille

WWDDW
2–0Historical match

Metz

LDDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 2–0.

Shots
167
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
3.031.86
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Metz 2–0. Recorded in this match (Lille – Metz): shots 16–7, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 3.03–1.86, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metz show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Metz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Metz9.43 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleMetzBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match9.43 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against8.64 shots/match16.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Lille have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.6% ●PossessionLille · Metz34.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLilleMetzBaseline
Possession57.6%34.1%50.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsLille 16 shots, Metz 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsLille 6 shots, Metz 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.03 xG1.86 xGLille 3.03 xG, Metz 1.86 xG
  • Possession66%34%Lille 66%, Metz 34%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerLille 6 corners, Metz 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsLille 8 fouls, Metz 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joseph N'Duquidi · Metz · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAblie Jallow · Metz · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAngel Gomes · Lille · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeny Yoro · Lille · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPapa Amadou Diallo · Metz · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRémy Cabella · Lille · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanley Jean Jacques · Metz · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRémy Cabella · Lille · 81′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRémy Cabella · Lille · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Yazıcı · Lille · 33′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 39′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 72′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 45′ · 0.21 xG · on targetCheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz · 69′ · 0.21 xG · on targetAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 63′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Yazıcı · Lille · 37′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 33′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Yazıcı · Lille · 45′ · 0.60 xG · goalSimon Elisor · Metz · 29′ · 0.82 xG · on targetJonathan David · Lille · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goalLamine Camara · Metz · 55′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 16 shots, 6 on target, 3.09 xG. Metz: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Jonathan David · Lille · 45′Yusuf Yazıcı · Lille · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 3.09 xG · Metz 1.93 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lille
2Draws
0Metz
Lille — Metz · Ligue 10–0
Metz — Lille · Ligue 13–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Metz in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille14 matchesMetz14 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.07 goals/match
0.79 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.57 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/140.91 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots14/149.43 shots/match
5.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.64 shots/match
57.6% ●Possession14/1434.1%
5.36 corners/match ●Corners14/143.43 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Dec 2023, 20:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleMetz
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headLille — Metz
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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