PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Olympique de Marseille 2–0 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 2–0.

Shots
510
Shots on target
20
Expected goals
0.940.62
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille beat Stade Rennais 2–0. Recorded in this match (Olympique de Marseille – Stade Rennais): shots 5–10, shots on target 2–0, expected goals 0.94–0.62, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique de Marseille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique de Marseille's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots10 shotsOlympique de Marseille 5 shots, Stade Rennais 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots0 shotsOlympique de Marseille 2 shots, Stade Rennais 0 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG0.62 xGOlympique de Marseille 0.94 xG, Stade Rennais 0.62 xG
  • Possession43%57%Olympique de Marseille 43%, Stade Rennais 57%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersOlympique de Marseille 1 corner, Stade Rennais 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsOlympique de Marseille 9 fouls, Stade Rennais 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAzzedine Ounahi · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAzzedine Ounahi · Olympique de Marseille · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMartin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Truffert · Stade Rennais · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmir Murillo · Olympique de Marseille · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAzzedine Ounahi · Olympique de Marseille · 65′ · 0.06 xG · goalMartin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 16′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMartin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 73′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 8′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique de Marseille: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.97 xG. Stade Rennais: 10 shots, 0 on target, 0.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 8′Azzedine Ounahi · Olympique de Marseille · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique de Marseille 0.97 xG · Stade Rennais 0.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Olympique de Marseille
1Draws
1Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–1
Olympique de Marseille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1
Stade Rennais — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–0
Olympique de Marseille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille13 matchesStade Rennais14 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/14▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/141.36 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals13/141.46 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots13/14▲ 14.4 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲ 4.93 shots/match
50.7%Possession13/14● 54.6%
5.31 corners/match ●Corners13/144.93 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1410.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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