PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Olympique de Marseille 4–1 Montpellier · Ligue 1

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 4–1.

Shots
169
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.660.6
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille beat Montpellier 4–1. Recorded in this match (Olympique de Marseille – Montpellier): shots 16–9, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.66–0.6, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Montpellier have a visible away split

moderate

Montpellier's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Olympique de Marseille show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Olympique de Marseille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsOlympique de Marseille · Montpellier13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleMontpellierBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

54% ●PossessionOlympique de Marseille · Montpellier44%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleMontpellierBaseline
Possession54%44%51.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsOlympique de Marseille 16 shots, Montpellier 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsOlympique de Marseille 6 shots, Montpellier 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.66 xG0.6 xGOlympique de Marseille 2.66 xG, Montpellier 0.6 xG
  • Possession58%42%Olympique de Marseille 58%, Montpellier 42%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersOlympique de Marseille 7 corners, Montpellier 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsOlympique de Marseille 8 fouls, Montpellier 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Olympique de Marseille
2Draws
0Montpellier
Montpellier — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–1
Olympique de Marseille — Montpellier · Ligue 11–1
Montpellier — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–2
Olympique de Marseille — Montpellier · Ligue 12–0
Montpellier — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Montpellier in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille23 matchesMontpellier23 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.09 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.35 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.35 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots23/2313.7 shots/match
4.35 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 5.3 shots/match
54% ●Possession23/2344%
5.83 corners/match ●Corners23/234.04 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls23/2312.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Feb 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleMontpellier
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Montpellier
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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