Ligue 1 · 2023Fri, 29 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Lille

WLWDD

2–1Full-time recap

RC Lens

DLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lille	RC Lens
Shots	15 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.59 xG/match▲	0.61 xG/match
Possession	49%	51%●
Corners	5 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Lille: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.63 xG. RC Lens: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 1.63 xG · RC Lens 0.60 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

weak

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.33 goals/match	1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.52 corners/match●CornersLille · RC Lens5.3 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Lille	RC Lens	Baseline
Corners	5.52 corners/match	5.3 corners/match	4.46 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Lille

2Draws

2RC Lens

8 Oct 2023RC Lens — Lille · Ligue 11–1

4 Mar 2023RC Lens — Lille · Ligue 11–1

9 Oct 2022Lille — RC Lens · Ligue 11–0

16 Apr 2022Lille — RC Lens · Ligue 11–2

18 Sept 2021RC Lens — Lille · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Lille favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · RC Lens in 1 · 4 too close

1.44 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 27/271.33 goals/match

0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 27/271.07 goals/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 27/271.53 xG/match

1.02 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 27/271.46 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/2713.7 shots/match

9.37 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 27/2711.6 shots/match

5.3 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 27/275 shots/match

3.56 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 27/274.15 shots/match

56.7%●Possessionseason · 27/2752.2%

5.52 corners/match●Cornersseason · 27/275.3 corners/match

4.19 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 27/27▲3.89 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2713 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

52%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/2744%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2774%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lille91.7

RC Lens63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lille71.3

RC Lens65.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lille89.8

RC Lens69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lille19.4

RC Lens69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lille13.9

RC Lens75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lille80.6

RC Lens63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lille58.3

RC Lens69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Lille27 matchesRC Lens27 matches

1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored27/271.33 goals/match

0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed27/271.07 goals/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.53 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShots27/2713.7 shots/match

5.3 shots/match▲Shots on target27/275 shots/match

56.7%●Possession27/2752.2%

5.52 corners/match●Corners27/275.3 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2713 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Lille13 matchesRC Lens14 matches

1.92 goals/match▲Goals scored13/141.07 goals/match

0.54 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/141 goals/match

2.06 xG/match▲Expected goals13/141.19 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shots13/1412 shots/match

6.62 shots/match▲Shots on target13/144.43 shots/match

56.9%●Possession13/1452.5%

5.92 corners/match●Corners13/144.29 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1413.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4