Ligue 1 · 2023

Lille 2–1 RC Lens · Ligue 1

Lille

WLWDD
2–1Historical match

RC Lens

DLWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 2–1.

Shots
159
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.590.61
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat RC Lens 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lille – RC Lens): shots 15–9, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.59–0.61, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

weak

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.52 corners/match ●CornersLille · RC Lens5.3 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLilleRC LensBaseline
Corners5.52 corners/match5.3 corners/match4.46 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsLille 15 shots, RC Lens 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsLille 6 shots, RC Lens 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.59 xG0.61 xGLille 1.59 xG, RC Lens 0.61 xG
  • Possession49%51%Lille 49%, RC Lens 51%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersLille 5 corners, RC Lens 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls17 foulsLille 13 fouls, RC Lens 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Wesley Saïd · RC Lens · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTiago Santos · Lille · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsmaily · Lille · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTrévis Dago · Lille · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNabil Bentaleb · Lille · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 76′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMassadio Haïdara · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin Danso · RC Lens · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Gudmundsson · Lille · 60′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 9′ · 0.08 xG · goalEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 66′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRémy Cabella · Lille · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 14′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 78′ · 0.14 xG · goalDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 13′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 27′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 60′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.63 xG. RC Lens: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Edon Zhegrova · Lille · 9′Edon Zhegrova · Lille · 60′Elye Wahi · RC Lens · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 1.63 xG · RC Lens 0.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lille
2Draws
2RC Lens
RC Lens — Lille · Ligue 11–1
RC Lens — Lille · Ligue 11–1
Lille — RC Lens · Ligue 11–0
Lille — RC Lens · Ligue 11–2
RC Lens — Lille · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille27 matchesRC Lens27 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.33 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.07 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.53 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots27/2713.7 shots/match
5.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/275 shots/match
56.7% ●Possession27/2752.2%
5.52 corners/match ●Corners27/275.3 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2713 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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