PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Metz 2–1 RC Lens · Ligue 1

Metz

WWLLL
2–1Historical match

RC Lens

WWLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Metz won 2–1.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
0.821.54
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Metz beat RC Lens 2–1. Recorded in this match (Metz – RC Lens): shots 11–17, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 0.82–1.54, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

RC Lens have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.9%PossessionMetz · RC Lens● 53%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMetzRC LensBaseline
Possession35.9%53%51.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metz show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Metz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsMetz · RC Lens14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMetzRC LensBaseline
Shots10 shots/match14 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsMetz 11 shots, RC Lens 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsMetz 5 shots, RC Lens 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG1.54 xGMetz 0.82 xG, RC Lens 1.54 xG
  • Possession30%70%Metz 30%, RC Lens 70%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersMetz 5 corners, RC Lens 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsMetz 11 fouls, RC Lens 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Andy Diouf · RC Lens · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Danso · RC Lens · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · RC Lens · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsmaël Traoré · Metz · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Danso · RC Lens · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndy Diouf · RC Lens · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDanley Jean Jacques · Metz · 2′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Metz · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKévin N'Doram · Metz · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPapa Amadou Diallo · Metz · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndy Diouf · RC Lens · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 63′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPapa Amadou Diallo · Metz · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · RC Lens · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsmaël Traoré · Metz · 27′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 82′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 34′ · 0.12 xG · goalFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 72′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 45′ · 0.33 xG · goalFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 13′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Metz: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.81 xG. RC Lens: 17 shots, 2 on target, 1.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Georges Mikautadze · Metz · 34′Georges Mikautadze · Metz · 45′Florian Sotoca · RC Lens · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Metz 0.81 xG · RC Lens 1.57 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Metz
1Draws
1RC Lens
RC Lens — Metz · Ligue 10–1
Metz — RC Lens · Ligue 10–0
RC Lens — Metz · Ligue 14–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Metz favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Metz29 matchesRC Lens29 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.51 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 14 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 5 shots/match
35.9%Possession29/29● 53%
4.14 corners/matchCorners29/29● 5.24 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls29/2913.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 12 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMetzRC Lens
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headMetz — RC Lens
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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