PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Lille 3–4 Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1

Lille

WWWLW
3–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique Lyonnais won 3–4.

Shots
811
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
0.882.45
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique Lyonnais beat Lille 4–3. Recorded in this match (Lille – Olympique Lyonnais): shots 8–11, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 0.88–2.45, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique Lyonnais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique Lyonnais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots11 shotsLille 8 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsLille 5 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG2.45 xGLille 0.88 xG, Olympique Lyonnais 2.45 xG
  • Possession44%56%Lille 44%, Olympique Lyonnais 56%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersLille 4 corners, Olympique Lyonnais 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsLille 14 fouls, Olympique Lyonnais 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Angel Gomes · Lille · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 27′ · 0.03 xG · on targetErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 63′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAinsley Maitland-Niles · Olympique Lyonnais · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYusuf Yazıcı · Lille · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 37′ · 0.05 xG · goalAinsley Maitland-Niles · Olympique Lyonnais · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Caqueret · Olympique Lyonnais · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMalick Fofana · Olympique Lyonnais · 84′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 70′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalJonathan David · Lille · 5′ · 0.14 xG · on targetBafodé Diakité · Lille · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · Olympique Lyonnais · 65′ · 0.16 xG · goalBafodé Diakité · Lille · 21′ · 0.17 xG · goalAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 32′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedBafodé Diakité · Lille · 85′ · 0.24 xG · goalAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 88′ · 0.57 xG · goalMalick Fofana · Olympique Lyonnais · 82′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.84 xG. Olympique Lyonnais: 11 shots, 7 on target, 2.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Bafodé Diakité · Lille · 21′Edon Zhegrova · Lille · 37′Bafodé Diakité · Lille · 85′Saïd Benrahma · Olympique Lyonnais · 65′Malick Fofana · Olympique Lyonnais · 82′Alexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 88′Mama Baldé · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 0.84 xG · Olympique Lyonnais 2.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lille
2Draws
1Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais — Lille · Ligue 10–2
Lille — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 13–3
Olympique Lyonnais — Lille · Ligue 11–0
Olympique Lyonnais — Lille · Ligue 10–1
Lille — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille32 matchesOlympique Lyonnais32 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored32/321.44 goals/match
0.97 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.69 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals32/321.5 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots32/3213.2 shots/match
5.13 shots/matchShots on target32/325.16 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession32/3251.6%
5.31 corners/match ●Corners32/324.91 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleOlympique Lyonnais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headLille — Olympique Lyonnais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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