PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

AS Monaco 4–0 Nantes · Ligue 1

4–0Historical match

Nantes

WLDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 4–0.

Shots
106
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.460.96
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Monaco beat Nantes 4–0. Recorded in this match (AS Monaco – Nantes): shots 10–6, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.46–0.96, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.9% ●PossessionAS Monaco · Nantes44.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoNantesBaseline
Possession53.9%44.6%51.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots6 shotsAS Monaco 10 shots, Nantes 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsAS Monaco 6 shots, Nantes 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG0.96 xGAS Monaco 1.46 xG, Nantes 0.96 xG
  • Possession62%38%AS Monaco 62%, Nantes 38%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersAS Monaco 2 corners, Nantes 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls23 foulsAS Monaco 14 fouls, Nantes 23 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Caio Henrique · AS Monaco · 52′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 59′ · 0.04 xG · on targetThilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 60′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 61′ · 0.04 xG · goalBénie Traoré · Nantes · 15′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMamadou Coulibaly · AS Monaco · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 10′ · 0.09 xG · goalCaio Henrique · AS Monaco · 27′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Kader Bamba · Nantes · 89′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTino Kadewere · Nantes · 40′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedWissam Ben Yedder · AS Monaco · 6′ · 0.26 xG · goalMarcus Coco · Nantes · 26′ · 0.26 xG · on targetBénie Traoré · Nantes · 55′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Camara · AS Monaco · 24′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Monaco: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.50 xG. Nantes: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Wissam Ben Yedder · AS Monaco · 6′Thilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 10′Mohamed Camara · AS Monaco · 24′Eliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Monaco 1.50 xG · Nantes 0.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1AS Monaco
4Draws
0Nantes
Nantes — AS Monaco · Ligue 13–3
Nantes — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–2
AS Monaco — Nantes · Ligue 14–1
Nantes — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–0
AS Monaco — Nantes · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco34 matchesNantes34 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/340.88 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.62 goals/match
1.65 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.12 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots34/3411.2 shots/match
6.18 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/344 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession34/3444.6%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners34/344.85 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls34/3413.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoNantes
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headAS Monaco — Nantes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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