Ligue 1 · 2023Sun, 19 May 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Le Havre

LLDWL

1–2Full-time recap

Olympique de Marseille

DDWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Le Havre	Olympique de Marseille
Shots	13 shots/match	22 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.8 xG/match▲	1.53 xG/match
Possession	44%	56%●
Corners	5 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Le Havre: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.83 xG. Olympique de Marseille: 22 shots, 7 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 1.83 xG · Olympique de Marseille 1.54 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Olympique de Marseille. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Olympique de Marseille.

9 days▲Rest daysLe Havre · Olympique de Marseille4 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Le Havre	Olympique de Marseille	Baseline
Rest days	9 days	4 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Le Havre have a visible home split

moderate

Le Havre's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.4 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Le Havre

0Draws

1Olympique de Marseille

8 Oct 2023Olympique de Marseille — Le Havre · Ligue 13–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Le Havre favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 9 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/34▲1.53 goals/match

1.32 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/34▲1.21 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 34/34▲1.64 xG/match

1.5 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 34/34▲1.05 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/34▲14.1 shots/match

13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/34▲11 shots/match

3.65 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/34▲4.65 shots/match

4.74 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/34▲3.94 shots/match

44.6%Possessionseason · 34/34●53.6%

3.76 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/34●5.41 corners/match

4.59 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/344.76 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3411 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3421%

53%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/34▲71%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Le Havre19.4

Olympique de Marseille75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Le Havre17.6

Olympique de Marseille62.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Le Havre41.7

Olympique de Marseille75.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Le Havre52.8

Olympique de Marseille63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Le Havre63.9

Olympique de Marseille8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Le Havre8.3

Olympique de Marseille88.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Le Havre27.8

Olympique de Marseille53.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Le Havre34 matchesOlympique de Marseille34 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲1.53 goals/match

1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲1.21 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲1.64 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots34/34▲14.1 shots/match

3.65 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲4.65 shots/match

44.6%Possession34/34●53.6%

3.76 corners/matchCorners34/34●5.41 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls34/3411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Le Havre17 matchesOlympique de Marseille17 matches

1.06 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲1.24 goals/match

1.12 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.65 goals/match

1.42 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.36 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShots17/17▲14.1 shots/match

4.71 shots/match▲Shots on target17/174.06 shots/match

45.8%Possession17/17●54.8%

4.29 corners/matchCorners17/17●5.47 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4