Ligue 1 · 2023

Le Havre 1–2 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 1–2.

Shots
1322
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
1.81.53
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille beat Le Havre 2–1. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – Olympique de Marseille): shots 13–22, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 1.8–1.53, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Olympique de Marseille.

9 days ▲Rest daysLe Havre · Olympique de Marseille4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLe HavreOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Rest days9 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Le Havre have a visible home split

moderate

Le Havre's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots22 shotsLe Havre 13 shots, Olympique de Marseille 22 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsLe Havre 6 shots, Olympique de Marseille 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.8 xG1.53 xGLe Havre 1.8 xG, Olympique de Marseille 1.53 xG
  • Possession44%56%Le Havre 44%, Olympique de Marseille 56%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersLe Havre 5 corners, Olympique de Marseille 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsLe Havre 11 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emmanuel Sabbi · Le Havre · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Joujou · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuís Henrique · Olympique de Marseille · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Olympique de Marseille · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmir Murillo · Olympique de Marseille · 77′ · 0.02 xG · goalArouna Sangante · Le Havre · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Sidi Ali · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOualid El Hajjam · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Olympique de Marseille · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Veretout · Olympique de Marseille · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFaris Pemi Moumbagna · Olympique de Marseille · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 16′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJonathan Clauss · Olympique de Marseille · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 7′ · 0.07 xG · on targetPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 3′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuís Henrique · Olympique de Marseille · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChancel Mbemba · Olympique de Marseille · 16′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Clauss · Olympique de Marseille · 41′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedArouna Sangante · Le Havre · 71′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Clauss · Olympique de Marseille · 44′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 74′ · 0.11 xG · on targetOualid El Hajjam · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 23′ · 0.14 xG · on targetFaris Pemi Moumbagna · Olympique de Marseille · 24′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 56′ · 0.14 xG · on targetFaris Pemi Moumbagna · Olympique de Marseille · 56′ · 0.14 xG · on targetPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 64′ · 0.19 xG · goalSamuel Grandsir · Le Havre · 69′ · 0.31 xG · on targetMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.83 xG. Olympique de Marseille: 22 shots, 7 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 90′Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 64′Amir Murillo · Olympique de Marseille · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 1.83 xG · Olympique de Marseille 1.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Le Havre
0Draws
1Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille — Le Havre · Ligue 13–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre34 matchesOlympique de Marseille34 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1.64 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 14.1 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 4.65 shots/match
44.6%Possession34/34● 53.6%
3.76 corners/matchCorners34/34● 5.41 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls34/3411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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