PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Lille 1–3 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 1–3.

Shots
811
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.42.6
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Lille 3–1. Recorded in this match (Lille – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 8–11, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.4–2.6, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Paris Saint-Germain17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match17.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against6.33 shots/match7 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.7%PossessionLille · Paris Saint-Germain● 67.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLilleParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession58.7%67.7%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots11 shotsLille 8 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsLille 4 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.4 xG2.6 xGLille 1.4 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 2.6 xG
  • Possession42%58%Lille 42%, Paris Saint-Germain 58%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerLille 3 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsLille 9 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tiago Santos · Lille · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 17′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTiago Santos · Lille · 41′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 9′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 54′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 78′ · 0.06 xG · goalDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 71′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Paris Saint-Germain · 53′ · 0.12 xG · on targetTiago Santos · Lille · 59′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 75′ · 0.15 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 58′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Lille · 48′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRandal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.30 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 36′ · 0.41 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Lille · 12′ · 0.71 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 33′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.43 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 11 shots, 7 on target, 2.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Edon Zhegrova · Lille · 78′Vitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 33′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 36′Randal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 1.43 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 2.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lille
1Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Lille · Ligue 13–1
Lille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Lille · Ligue 14–3
Lille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–7
Lille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille3 matchesParis Saint-Germain3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 4.33 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 3.1 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 17.7 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 9.33 shots/match
58.7%Possession3/3● 67.7%
4.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 6.33 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls3/39.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headLille — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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