PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 3–1.

Shots
2312
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
3.051.5
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Stade Rennais 3–1. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – Stade Rennais): shots 23–12, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 3.05–1.5, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint-Germain have a visible home split

weak

Paris Saint-Germain's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

24 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots24 shots/match18.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.2 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · Stade Rennais13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainStade RennaisBaseline
Shots18.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against7.67 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

68.3% ●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · Stade Rennais44%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 24.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainStade RennaisBaseline
Possession68.3%44%48.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots12 shotsParis Saint-Germain 23 shots, Stade Rennais 12 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsParis Saint-Germain 8 shots, Stade Rennais 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.05 xG1.5 xGParis Saint-Germain 3.05 xG, Stade Rennais 1.5 xG
  • Possession62%38%Paris Saint-Germain 62%, Stade Rennais 38%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersParis Saint-Germain 6 corners, Stade Rennais 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsParis Saint-Germain 12 fouls, Stade Rennais 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Truffert · Stade Rennais · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Grønbæk · Stade Rennais · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMahamadou Nagida · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAzor Matusiwa · Stade Rennais · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAzor Matusiwa · Stade Rennais · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 6′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 57′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 72′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 27′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 61′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′ · 0.14 xG · goalAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 18′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 44′ · 0.20 xG · on targetRandal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 58′ · 0.42 xG · goalAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 19′ · 0.48 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 68′ · 0.64 xG · goalArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 75′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 23 shots, 8 on target, 3.09 xG. Stade Rennais: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′Kang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 58′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 68′Arnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 3.09 xG · Stade Rennais 1.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Paris Saint-Germain
1Draws
2Stade Rennais
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1
Stade Rennais — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–3
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–2
Stade Rennais — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–0
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain6 matchesStade Rennais6 matches
3.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.67 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
2.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.35 xG/match
18.2 shots/match ▲Shots6/613.8 shots/match
8.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/65.83 shots/match
68.3% ●Possession6/644%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners6/64.67 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls6/614 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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