Stade Brestois 0–1 Nice — Ligue 1 2024/25 Match Stats

Ligue 1 · 2024Sat, 2 Nov 2024, 18:00 UTC

Stade Brestois

WLWDW

0–1Historical match

Nice

WDDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice won 0–1.

Shots: 1612
Shots on target: 63
Expected goals: 1.021.52
Possession: 64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice beat Stade Brestois 1–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois – Nice): shots 16–12, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.02–1.52, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nice's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.9 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goal/match	1.9 goals/match	1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

Shots16 shots12 shotsStade Brestois 16 shots, Nice 12 shots
Shots on target6 shots3 shotsStade Brestois 6 shots, Nice 3 shots
Expected goals1.02 xG1.52 xGStade Brestois 1.02 xG, Nice 1.52 xG
Possession64%36%Stade Brestois 64%, Nice 36%
Corners6 corners2 cornersStade Brestois 6 corners, Nice 2 corners
Fouls9 fouls4 foulsStade Brestois 9 fouls, Nice 4 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Stade Brestois: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.02 xG. Nice: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 1.02 xG · Nice 1.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Brestois

2Draws

2Nice

4 Feb 2024Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 10–0

1 Oct 2023Nice — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–0

16 Apr 2023Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 11–0

6 Nov 2022Nice — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–0

9 Jan 2022Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 10–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Nice in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois10 matchesNice10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.9 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 0.9 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.66 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 13 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 5.6 shots/match

50.4% ●Possession10/1047%

3.4 corners/matchCorners10/10● 4.6 corners/match

13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/109.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples10 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Nov 2024, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4