PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

AS Monaco 3–2 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 3–2.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
2.71.04
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Monaco beat Stade Brestois 3–2. Recorded in this match (AS Monaco – Stade Brestois): shots 10–12, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 2.7–1.04, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Monaco's recent record differs from the season

weak

AS Monaco's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.75 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAS Monaco · Stade Brestois12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoStade BrestoisBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against9.58 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsAS Monaco 10 shots, Stade Brestois 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsAS Monaco 4 shots, Stade Brestois 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.7 xG1.04 xGAS Monaco 2.7 xG, Stade Brestois 1.04 xG
  • Possession52%48%AS Monaco 52%, Stade Brestois 48%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersAS Monaco 2 corners, Stade Brestois 8 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsAS Monaco 7 fouls, Stade Brestois 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edimilson Fernandes · Stade Brestois · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJordan Amavi · Stade Brestois · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Amavi · Stade Brestois · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalJulien Le Cardinal · Stade Brestois · 36′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Salisu · AS Monaco · 57′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 24′ · 0.15 xG · goalMama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 78′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 30′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 50′ · 0.20 xG · goalSoungoutou Magassa · AS Monaco · 84′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 45′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.27 xG · goalBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 45′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 83′ · 0.45 xG · on targetMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 5′ · 0.49 xG · goalMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 9′ · 0.64 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Monaco: 10 shots, 4 on target, 2.82 xG. Stade Brestois: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Maghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 5′Aleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 24′Maghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 90′Abdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 50′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Monaco 2.82 xG · Stade Brestois 1.04 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5AS Monaco
0Draws
0Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–2
AS Monaco — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–0
Stade Brestois — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–2
AS Monaco — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–0
AS Monaco — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco12 matchesStade Brestois12 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.33 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.83 goals/match
2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.19 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots12/1212 shots/match
5.08 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/124.58 shots/match
58.1% ●Possession12/1251.6%
5 corners/match ●Corners12/124.08 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 22 Nov 2024, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headAS Monaco — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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