PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024Fri, 22 Nov 2024, 18:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
3–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAS MonacoStade Brestois
Shots10 shots/match12 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals2.7 xG/match▲1.04 xG/match
Possession52%●48%
Corners2 corners/match8 corners/match●
Fouls7 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Edimilson Fernandes · Stade Brestois · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJordan Amavi · Stade Brestois · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Amavi · Stade Brestois · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalJulien Le Cardinal · Stade Brestois · 36′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Salisu · AS Monaco · 57′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 24′ · 0.15 xG · goalMama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 78′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 30′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 50′ · 0.20 xG · goalSoungoutou Magassa · AS Monaco · 84′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 45′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.27 xG · goalBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 45′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 83′ · 0.45 xG · on targetMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 5′ · 0.49 xG · goalMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 9′ · 0.64 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Monaco: 10 shots, 4 on target, 2.82 xG. Stade Brestois: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Maghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 5′Aleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 24′Maghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 90′Abdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 50′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Monaco 2.82 xG · Stade Brestois 1.04 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AS Monaco's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Stade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

AS Monaco's recent record differs from the season

weak

AS Monaco's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.75 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match▲ShotsAS Monaco · Stade Brestois12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoStade BrestoisBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against9.58 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

5AS Monaco
0Draws
0Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–2
AS Monaco — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–0
Stade Brestois — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–2
AS Monaco — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–0
AS Monaco — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

AS Monaco favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 0 · 3 too close

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/121.33 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.83 goals/match
2.01 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/121.19 xG/match
0.8 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/121.95 xG/match
14.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1212 shots/match
9.58 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1212.3 shots/match
5.08 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/124.58 shots/match
3.25 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/124.25 shots/match
58.1%●Possessionseason · 12/1251.6%
5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 12/124.08 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/124 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1213.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1225%
83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AS Monaco86.1
Stade Brestois63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AS Monaco75
Stade Brestois45.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AS Monaco87
Stade Brestois45.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AS Monaco58.3
Stade Brestois19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AS Monaco66.7
Stade Brestois66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AS Monaco75
Stade Brestois25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AS Monaco74.3
Stade Brestois45.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

AS Monaco12 matchesStade Brestois12 matches
1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.33 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.83 goals/match
2.01 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.19 xG/match
14.5 shots/match▲Shots12/1212 shots/match
5.08 shots/match▲Shots on target12/124.58 shots/match
58.1%●Possession12/1251.6%
5 corners/match●Corners12/124.08 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

AS Monaco7 matchesStade Brestois6 matches
1.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/61 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/62.5 goals/match
1.93 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.02 xG/match
14.1 shots/match▲Shots7/611.3 shots/match
4.43 shots/match▲Shots on target7/63.83 shots/match
59.6%●Possession7/650.8%
5.14 corners/match●Corners7/64 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.4 fouls/matchFouls7/612 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 22 Nov 2024, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAS MonacoStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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AS Monaco vs Stade Brestois — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath