PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Auxerre 2–2 RC Lens · Ligue 1

Auxerre

WWWLD
2–2Historical match

RC Lens

LWLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Auxerre and RC Lens drew 2–2.

Shots
1016
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.581.61
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Auxerre and RC Lens drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Auxerre – RC Lens): shots 10–16, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.58–1.61, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Lens show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RC Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAuxerre · RC Lens14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAuxerreRC LensBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match14 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RC Lens have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%PossessionAuxerre · RC Lens● 54.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAuxerreRC LensBaseline
Possession43%54.1%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots16 shotsAuxerre 10 shots, RC Lens 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsAuxerre 3 shots, RC Lens 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG1.61 xGAuxerre 0.58 xG, RC Lens 1.61 xG
  • Possession39%61%Auxerre 39%, RC Lens 61%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersAuxerre 3 corners, RC Lens 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsAuxerre 10 fouls, RC Lens 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Paul Joly · Auxerre · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnass Zaroury · RC Lens · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRemy Labeau Lascary · RC Lens · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnass Zaroury · RC Lens · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAbdukodir Khusanov · RC Lens · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPaul Joly · Auxerre · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKevin Danso · RC Lens · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKévin Danois · Auxerre · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRayan Raveloson · Auxerre · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 31′ · 0.05 xG · goalM'bala Nzola · RC Lens · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRemy Labeau Lascary · RC Lens · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · RC Lens · 43′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKévin Danois · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 50′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 89′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAdo Onaiwu · Auxerre · 55′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Osho · Auxerre · 73′ · 0.14 xG · goalM'bala Nzola · RC Lens · 45′ · 0.15 xG · goalDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · RC Lens · 6′ · 0.27 xG · on targetNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 22′ · 0.32 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Auxerre: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.60 xG. RC Lens: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Gaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 31′Gabriel Osho · Auxerre · 73′Neil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 22′M'bala Nzola · RC Lens · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Auxerre 0.60 xG · RC Lens 1.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Auxerre
0Draws
2RC Lens
Auxerre — RC Lens · Ligue 11–3
RC Lens — Auxerre · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Auxerre favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Auxerre15 matchesRC Lens15 matches
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.27 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 0.93 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.64 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 14 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target15/154.73 shots/match
43%Possession15/15● 54.1%
3.67 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.47 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls15/1515.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Dec 2024, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAuxerreRC Lens
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headAuxerre — RC Lens
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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