PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Le Havre 0–3 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Strasbourg won 0–3.

Shots
109
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.860.99
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Strasbourg beat Le Havre 3–0. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – RC Strasbourg): shots 10–9, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.86–0.99, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsLe Havre 10 shots, RC Strasbourg 9 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsLe Havre 1 shot, RC Strasbourg 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG0.99 xGLe Havre 0.86 xG, RC Strasbourg 0.99 xG
  • Possession56%44%Le Havre 56%, RC Strasbourg 44%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersLe Havre 3 corners, RC Strasbourg 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls7 foulsLe Havre 11 fouls, RC Strasbourg 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Abdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetÉtienne Youte Kinkoue · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoic Négo · Le Havre · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEmmanuel Sabbi · Le Havre · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Nanasi · RC Strasbourg · 32′ · 0.04 xG · goalLoic Négo · Le Havre · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSékou Mara · RC Strasbourg · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Ouattara · RC Strasbourg · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · RC Strasbourg · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Le Havre · 68′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 28′ · 0.10 xG · goalSteve Ngoura · Le Havre · 59′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.16 xG · goalMamadou Sarr · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Sabbi · Le Havre · 68′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 27′ · 0.32 xG · on targetÉtienne Youte Kinkoue · Le Havre · 79′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.90 xG. RC Strasbourg: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Habib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 28′Sebastian Nanasi · RC Strasbourg · 32′Andrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 0.90 xG · RC Strasbourg 0.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Le Havre
0Draws
1RC Strasbourg
Le Havre — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–1
RC Strasbourg — Le Havre · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre15 matchesRC Strasbourg15 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.39 xG/match
9.86 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 10.4 shots/match
2.93 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 5 shots/match
42.6%Possession14/14● 48.2%
3.86 corners/matchCorners14/14● 4 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLe HavreRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headLe Havre — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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