PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Le Havre 0–1 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 0–1.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
19
Expected goals
0.962.05
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois beat Le Havre 1–0. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – Stade Brestois): shots 11–17, shots on target 1–9, expected goals 0.96–2.05, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

weak

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.74 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Le Havre show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsLe Havre · Stade Brestois11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreStade BrestoisBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Stade Brestois have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.4%PossessionLe Havre · Stade Brestois● 49.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreStade BrestoisBaseline
Possession41.4%49.6%47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsLe Havre 11 shots, Stade Brestois 17 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot9 shotsLe Havre 1 shot, Stade Brestois 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG2.05 xGLe Havre 0.96 xG, Stade Brestois 2.05 xG
  • Possession44%56%Le Havre 44%, Stade Brestois 56%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersLe Havre 6 corners, Stade Brestois 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsLe Havre 12 fouls, Stade Brestois 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLoic Négo · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomain Faivre · Stade Brestois · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Joujou · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArouna Sangante · Le Havre · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSoumaila Coulibaly · Stade Brestois · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 78′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLuc Zogbé · Stade Brestois · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRomain Faivre · Stade Brestois · 33′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 28′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKenny Lala · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAhmed Hassan · Le Havre · 67′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 38′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAhmed Hassan · Le Havre · 55′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMahamadou Diawara · Le Havre · 55′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 38′ · 0.19 xG · on targetJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 44′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 11′ · 0.26 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 25′ · 0.30 xG · goalRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 5′ · 0.49 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 11 shots, 1 on target, 0.97 xG. Stade Brestois: 17 shots, 9 on target, 2.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 0.97 xG · Stade Brestois 2.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Le Havre
0Draws
3Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Le Havre · Ligue 12–0
Stade Brestois — Le Havre · Ligue 11–0
Le Havre — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre19 matchesStade Brestois19 matches
0.74 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.53 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.22 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 11.9 shots/match
2.72 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 4.89 shots/match
41.4%Possession18/18● 49.6%
3.83 corners/match ●Corners18/183.78 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLe HavreStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headLe Havre — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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