Ligue 1 · 2024

Auxerre 2–2 Toulouse · Ligue 1

Auxerre

LDLDL
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Auxerre and Toulouse drew 2–2.

Shots
97
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.690.83
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Auxerre and Toulouse drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Auxerre – Toulouse): shots 9–7, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.69–0.83, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Auxerre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Auxerre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.38 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Auxerre show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Auxerre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAuxerre · Toulouse11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAuxerreToulouseBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match9.57 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots7 shotsAuxerre 9 shots, Toulouse 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsAuxerre 3 shots, Toulouse 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.69 xG0.83 xGAuxerre 0.69 xG, Toulouse 0.83 xG
  • Possession54%46%Auxerre 54%, Toulouse 46%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersAuxerre 3 corners, Toulouse 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsAuxerre 11 fouls, Toulouse 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vincent Sierro · Toulouse · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRafik Messali · Toulouse · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGideon Mensah · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHan-Noah Massengo · Auxerre · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVincent Sierro · Toulouse · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoshua King · Toulouse · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKi-Jana Hoever · Auxerre · 53′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJubal · Auxerre · 62′ · 0.05 xG · goalLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 68′ · 0.14 xG · goalFrank Magri · Toulouse · 83′ · 0.26 xG · on targetLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 60′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 73′ · 0.35 xG · goalNoah Edjouma · Toulouse · 89′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Auxerre: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.91 xG. Toulouse: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Jubal · Auxerre · 62′Hamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 73′Charlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 68′Noah Edjouma · Toulouse · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Auxerre 0.91 xG · Toulouse 0.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Auxerre
1Draws
2Toulouse
Toulouse — Auxerre · Ligue 12–0
Toulouse — Auxerre · Ligue 11–1
Auxerre — Toulouse · Ligue 10–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Auxerre favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Toulouse in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Auxerre21 matchesToulouse21 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.1 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.39 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots21/2111.8 shots/match
4.62 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214.1 shots/match
42.8%Possession21/21● 46%
3.62 corners/matchCorners21/21● 4.62 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls21/2113.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Feb 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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