PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

RC Lens 0–2 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

RC Lens

WLWWL
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Strasbourg won 0–2.

Shots
713
Shots on target
05
Expected goals
0.362.35
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Strasbourg beat RC Lens 2–0. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – RC Strasbourg): shots 7–13, shots on target 0–5, expected goals 0.36–2.35, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Strasbourg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RC Strasbourg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Lens · RC Strasbourg10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC LensRC StrasbourgBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match10.7 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots13 shotsRC Lens 7 shots, RC Strasbourg 13 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots5 shotsRC Lens 0 shots, RC Strasbourg 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.36 xG2.35 xGRC Lens 0.36 xG, RC Strasbourg 2.35 xG
  • Possession56%44%RC Lens 56%, RC Strasbourg 44%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersRC Lens 7 corners, RC Strasbourg 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsRC Lens 12 fouls, RC Strasbourg 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · RC Lens · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuéla Doué · RC Strasbourg · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnass Zaroury · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFélix Lemaréchal · RC Strasbourg · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndy Diouf · RC Lens · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 10′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · RC Strasbourg · 12′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Nanasi · RC Strasbourg · 33′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 61′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Ouattara · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.19 xG · on targetDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.33 xG · on targetDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 81′ · 0.55 xG · goalEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 7 shots, 0 on target, 0.35 xG. RC Strasbourg: 13 shots, 5 on target, 2.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Dilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 81′Emmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 0.35 xG · RC Strasbourg 2.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RC Lens
2Draws
0RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — RC Lens · Ligue 12–2
RC Lens — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–1
RC Strasbourg — RC Lens · Ligue 10–1
RC Lens — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — RC Lens · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens22 matchesRC Strasbourg22 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.68 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.45 goals/match
1.59 xG/matchExpected goals22/211.54 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots22/2110.7 shots/match
4.32 shots/matchShots on target22/21▲ 4.76 shots/match
54.1% ●Possession22/2148.2%
5.55 corners/match ●Corners22/213.9 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2111.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Feb 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headRC Lens — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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