PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Olympique Lyonnais 4–2 Le Havre · Ligue 1

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique Lyonnais won 4–2.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
3.841.72
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique Lyonnais beat Le Havre 4–2. Recorded in this match (Olympique Lyonnais – Le Havre): shots 16–14, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 3.84–1.72, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Olympique Lyonnais have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.2% ●PossessionOlympique Lyonnais · Le Havre41.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOlympique LyonnaisLe HavreBaseline
Possession56.2%41.3%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 16 shots, Le Havre 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 7 shots, Le Havre 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.84 xG1.72 xGOlympique Lyonnais 3.84 xG, Le Havre 1.72 xG
  • Possession67%33%Olympique Lyonnais 67%, Le Havre 33%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerOlympique Lyonnais 4 corners, Le Havre 1 corner
  • Fouls20 fouls12 foulsOlympique Lyonnais 20 fouls, Le Havre 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Issa Soumaré · Le Havre · 38′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 46′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThiago Almada · Olympique Lyonnais · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÉtienne Youte Kinkoue · Le Havre · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetThiago Almada · Olympique Lyonnais · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · Le Havre · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Olympique Lyonnais · 82′ · 0.05 xG · goalAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLoic Négo · Le Havre · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 25′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMalick Fofana · Olympique Lyonnais · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 62′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 75′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 76′ · 0.20 xG · on targetThiago Almada · Olympique Lyonnais · 7′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Tagliafico · Olympique Lyonnais · 57′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedThiago Almada · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′ · 0.46 xG · goalJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.50 xG · goalAinsley Maitland-Niles · Olympique Lyonnais · 81′ · 0.68 xG · off target or blockedMalick Fofana · Olympique Lyonnais · 78′ · 0.69 xG · goalAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 22′ · 0.82 xG · goalAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 31′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique Lyonnais: 16 shots, 7 on target, 4.03 xG. Le Havre: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Alexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 22′Malick Fofana · Olympique Lyonnais · 78′Georges Mikautadze · Olympique Lyonnais · 82′Thiago Almada · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′Abdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 31′Josué Casimir · Le Havre · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique Lyonnais 4.03 xG · Le Havre 1.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Olympique Lyonnais
1Draws
1Le Havre
Le Havre — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–4
Le Havre — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 13–1
Olympique Lyonnais — Le Havre · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique Lyonnais favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique Lyonnais26 matchesLe Havre26 matches
1.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261 goal/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/262.12 goals/match
1.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/251.21 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots26/2510.2 shots/match
5.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/253.32 shots/match
56.2% ●Possession26/2541.3%
5.35 corners/match ●Corners26/254 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2511.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Mar 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique LyonnaisLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headOlympique Lyonnais — Le Havre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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