PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

AS Monaco 2–1 Nice · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

Nice

WWWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 2–1.

Shots
179
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.450.51
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Monaco beat Nice 2–1. Recorded in this match (AS Monaco – Nice): shots 17–9, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.45–0.51, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nice's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.89 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AS Monaco show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AS Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAS Monaco · Nice14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoNiceBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match14 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against9.81 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.2% ●PossessionAS Monaco · Nice46.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoNiceBaseline
Possession56.2%46.8%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsAS Monaco 17 shots, Nice 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsAS Monaco 6 shots, Nice 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.45 xG0.51 xGAS Monaco 2.45 xG, Nice 0.51 xG
  • Possession57%43%AS Monaco 57%, Nice 43%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersAS Monaco 7 corners, Nice 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsAS Monaco 17 fouls, Nice 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Wilfried Singo · AS Monaco · 58′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTom Louchet · Nice · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJérémie Boga · Nice · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWilfried Singo · AS Monaco · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAli Abdi · Nice · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · AS Monaco · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Rosario · Nice · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEvann Guessand · Nice · 68′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDante · Nice · 20′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJérémie Boga · Nice · 41′ · 0.08 xG · goalTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 55′ · 0.10 xG · goalTerem Moffi · Nice · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 78′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 17′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 37′ · 0.23 xG · on targetBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 73′ · 0.26 xG · goalMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 60′ · 0.35 xG · on targetMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 5′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Monaco: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.46 xG. Nice: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Mika Biereth · AS Monaco · 55′Breel Embolo · AS Monaco · 73′Jérémie Boga · Nice · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Monaco 2.46 xG · Nice 0.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2AS Monaco
0Draws
3Nice
Nice — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–1
Nice — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–3
AS Monaco — Nice · Ligue 10–1
AS Monaco — Nice · Ligue 10–3
Nice — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Nice in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco27 matchesNice27 matches
1.96 goals/matchGoals scored27/271.89 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.22 goals/match
2.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.75 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots27/2714 shots/match
5.56 shots/matchShots on target27/275.59 shots/match
56.2% ●Possession27/2746.8%
5.52 corners/match ●Corners27/274.85 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Mar 2025, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoNice
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headAS Monaco — Nice
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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