PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Toulouse 2–1 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Toulouse won 2–1.

Shots
915
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.811.48
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Toulouse beat Stade Rennais 2–1. Recorded in this match (Toulouse – Stade Rennais): shots 9–15, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.81–1.48, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Rennais's recent record differs from the season

weak

Stade Rennais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsToulouse 9 shots, Stade Rennais 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsToulouse 3 shots, Stade Rennais 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG1.48 xGToulouse 0.81 xG, Stade Rennais 1.48 xG
  • Possession38%62%Toulouse 38%, Stade Rennais 62%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersToulouse 6 corners, Stade Rennais 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls15 foulsToulouse 7 fouls, Stade Rennais 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ludovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Stade Rennais · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJaydee Canvot · Toulouse · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrank Magri · Toulouse · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Stade Rennais · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoshua King · Toulouse · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Koné · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDjaoui Cissé · Stade Rennais · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLorenz Assignon · Stade Rennais · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAron Dønnum · Toulouse · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 26′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAron Dønnum · Toulouse · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Truffert · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLilian Brassier · Stade Rennais · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoshua King · Toulouse · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAron Dønnum · Toulouse · 82′ · 0.09 xG · goalLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYann Gboho · Toulouse · 14′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJordan James · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Stade Rennais · 55′ · 0.15 xG · on targetYann Gboho · Toulouse · 28′ · 0.25 xG · goalArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 65′ · 0.33 xG · goalMohamed Kader Meite · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.38 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Toulouse: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.69 xG. Stade Rennais: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yann Gboho · Toulouse · 28′Aron Dønnum · Toulouse · 82′Arnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Toulouse 0.69 xG · Stade Rennais 1.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Toulouse
1Draws
1Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — Toulouse · Ligue 10–2
Stade Rennais — Toulouse · Ligue 11–2
Toulouse — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–0
Toulouse — Stade Rennais · Ligue 13–1
Stade Rennais — Toulouse · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Toulouse favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Toulouse32 matchesStade Rennais32 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.44 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals32/321.47 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 12.9 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 4.91 shots/match
44.9%Possession32/32● 51.5%
4.84 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.13 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsToulouseStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headToulouse — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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