Bundesliga · 2024Mon, 26 May 2025, 18:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

SV 07 Elversberg

1–2Full-time recap

1. FC Heidenheim

WDWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	SV 07 Elversberg	1. FC Heidenheim
Shots	8 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Possession	65%●	35%
Corners	3 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: 1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for SV 07 Elversberg, 1. FC Heidenheim. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.14 goals/match	1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for SV 07 Elversberg, 1. FC Heidenheim.

4 days▲Rest daysSV 07 Elversberg · 1. FC Heidenheim4 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	SV 07 Elversberg	1. FC Heidenheim	Baseline
Rest days	4 days	4 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0SV 07 Elversberg

1Draws

01. FC Heidenheim

22 May 20251. FC Heidenheim — SV 07 Elversberg · Bundesliga2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

SV 07 Elversberg favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 0 · 13 too close

—Goals scoredseason · 2/361.14 goals/match

—Goals allowedseason · 2/361.86 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/341.18 xG/match

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/341.67 xG/match

—Shotsseason · 2/3612 shots/match

—Shots allowedseason · 2/3613.3 shots/match

—Shots on targetseason · 2/364 shots/match

—Shots on target allowedseason · 2/364.97 shots/match

—Possessionseason · 2/3643.3%

—Cornersseason · 2/364.03 corners/match

—Corners allowedseason · 2/364.81 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

—Foulsseason · 2/3611.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

—Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/3625%

—Scoring frequencyseason · 2/3661%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SV 07 Elversberg—

1. FC Heidenheim8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SV 07 Elversberg—

1. FC Heidenheim25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SV 07 Elversberg—

1. FC Heidenheim30.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SV 07 Elversberg—

1. FC Heidenheim80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SV 07 Elversberg—

1. FC Heidenheim69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SV 07 Elversberg—

1. FC Heidenheim13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SV 07 Elversberg—

1. FC Heidenheim33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

SV 07 Elversberg2 matches1. FC Heidenheim36 matches

—Goals scored2/361.14 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/361.86 goals/match

—Expected goals0/341.18 xG/match

—Shots2/3612 shots/match

—Shots on target2/364 shots/match

—Possession2/3643.3%

—Corners2/364.03 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/3611.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

SV 07 Elversberg1 matches1. FC Heidenheim18 matches

—Goals scored1/181.44 goals/match

—Goals allowed1/181.78 goals/match

—Expected goals0/171.15 xG/match

—Shots1/1810.9 shots/match

—Shots on target1/183.94 shots/match

—Possession1/1840%

—Corners1/183 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls1/1811.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples2 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples2 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 26 May 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4