Bundesliga · 2025Full timeHistorical match
11Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSC Paderborn 07VfL Wolfsburg
Shots39 shots 8 shots
Shots on target10 shots 3 shots
Possession67% 33%
Corners19 corners 2 corners
Fouls12 fouls9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mika Baur · SC Paderborn 07 · 17′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castaneda · SC Paderborn 07 · 26′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Brackelmann · SC Paderborn 07 · 38′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedStefano Marino · SC Paderborn 07 · 41′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castaneda · SC Paderborn 07 · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Brackelmann · SC Paderborn 07 · 49′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Brackelmann · SC Paderborn 07 · 58′ · 0.00 xG · on targetSebastian Klaas · SC Paderborn 07 · 61′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRuben Müller · SC Paderborn 07 · 65′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSteffen Tigges · SC Paderborn 07 · 83′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMattes Hansen · SC Paderborn 07 · 83′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedLaurin Curda · SC Paderborn 07 · 85′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Souza · VfL Wolfsburg · 86′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFilip Bilbija · SC Paderborn 07 · 87′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSteffen Tigges · SC Paderborn 07 · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMika Baur · SC Paderborn 07 · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFilip Bilbija · SC Paderborn 07 · 102′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKento Shiogai · VfL Wolfsburg · 111′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Koulierakis · VfL Wolfsburg · 113′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 · 115′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 119′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJesper Lindstrøm · VfL Wolfsburg · 120′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFilip Bilbija · SC Paderborn 07 · 120′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedLaurin Curda · SC Paderborn 07 · 42′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSebastian Klaas · SC Paderborn 07 · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Klaas · SC Paderborn 07 · 50′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSebastian Klaas · SC Paderborn 07 · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMika Baur · SC Paderborn 07 · 59′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFelix Götze · SC Paderborn 07 · 92′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSteffen Tigges · SC Paderborn 07 · 94′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKento Shiogai · VfL Wolfsburg · 120′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKento Shiogai · VfL Wolfsburg · 120′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFilip Bilbija · SC Paderborn 07 · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSteffen Tigges · SC Paderborn 07 · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castaneda · SC Paderborn 07 · 96′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castaneda · SC Paderborn 07 · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetStefano Marino · SC Paderborn 07 · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSteffen Tigges · SC Paderborn 07 · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castaneda · SC Paderborn 07 · 115′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Brackelmann · SC Paderborn 07 · 22′ · 0.05 xG · on targetStefano Marino · SC Paderborn 07 · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Brackelmann · SC Paderborn 07 · 14′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedStefano Marino · SC Paderborn 07 · 49′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDženan Pejčinović · VfL Wolfsburg · 3′ · 0.10 xG · goalSven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLaurin Curda · SC Paderborn 07 · 100′ · 0.10 xG · goalFilip Bilbija · SC Paderborn 07 · 38′ · 0.11 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Paderborn 07: 39 shots, 10 on target, 0.90 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′120′Filip Bilbija · SC Paderborn 07 · 38′Laurin Curda · SC Paderborn 07 · 100′Dženan Pejčinović · VfL Wolfsburg · 3′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Paderborn 07 0.90 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 0.14 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Paderborn 07 and VfL Wolfsburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (SC Paderborn 07 – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 39–8, shots on target 10–3, possession 67%–33%, corners 19–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for SC Paderborn 07, VfL Wolfsburg.

4 days Rest daysSC Paderborn 07 · VfL Wolfsburg4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSC Paderborn 07VfL WolfsburgBaseline
Rest days4 days4 days
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

VfL Wolfsburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfL Wolfsburg's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.8 shots/match ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Paderborn 07 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Paderborn 07's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC Paderborn 07VfL WolfsburgBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

0SC Paderborn 07
1Draws
0VfL Wolfsburg
VfL WolfsburgSC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga00

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Rest before fixture · Both teams: 4 days
1 matchMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

SC Paderborn 07 / VfL Wolfsburg

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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