PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Napoli 1–3 Fiorentina · Serie A

Napoli

LDDWW
1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 1–3.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.752.07
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Napoli 3–1. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Fiorentina): shots 16–12, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.75–2.07, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18 shots/match ▲ShotsNapoli · Fiorentina11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNapoliFiorentinaBaseline
Shots18 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against7.75 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Napoli have a visible home split

weak

Napoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.5 shots/match18 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fiorentina's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsNapoli 16 shots, Fiorentina 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsNapoli 4 shots, Fiorentina 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.75 xG2.07 xGNapoli 1.75 xG, Fiorentina 2.07 xG
  • Possession54%46%Napoli 54%, Fiorentina 46%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersNapoli 6 corners, Fiorentina 4 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls14 foulsNapoli 4 fouls, Fiorentina 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Napoli · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMathías Olivera · Napoli · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJens-Lys Cajuste · Napoli · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichael Kayode · Fiorentina · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFabiano Parisi · Fiorentina · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedStanislav Lobotka · Napoli · 28′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Martínez Quarta · Fiorentina · 5′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Napoli · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 22′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 37′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 51′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLucas Martínez Quarta · Fiorentina · 7′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 59′ · 0.29 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.93 xG. Fiorentina: 9 shots, 0 on target, 0.88 xG. · 4 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 0.93 xG · Fiorentina 0.88 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Napoli
1Draws
1Fiorentina
Napoli — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Fiorentina — Napoli · Serie A0–0
Napoli — Fiorentina · Serie A2–3
Fiorentina — Napoli · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli8 matchesFiorentina8 matches
2.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.25 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.38 goals/match
2.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.13 xG/match
18 shots/match ▲Shots8/811.4 shots/match
5.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/84 shots/match
59.1% ●Possession8/856.3%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners8/84 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls8/811.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNapoliFiorentina
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headNapoli — Fiorentina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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