Serie A · 2023

Bologna 1–0 Lazio · Serie A

Bologna

DWDWD
1–0Historical match

Lazio

WLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 1–0.

Shots
611
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.590.51
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Lazio 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Lazio): shots 6–11, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.59–0.51, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lazio.

6.28 days ▲Rest daysBologna · Lazio4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBolognaLazioBaseline
Rest days6.28 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots11 shotsBologna 6 shots, Lazio 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotBologna 2 shots, Lazio 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.59 xG0.51 xGBologna 0.59 xG, Lazio 0.51 xG
  • Possession50%50%Bologna 50%, Lazio 50%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersBologna 2 corners, Lazio 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsBologna 12 fouls, Lazio 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luca Pellegrini · Lazio · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuis Alberto · Lazio · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 35′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 18′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 18′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 46′ · 0.19 xG · goalDan Ndoye · Bologna · 90′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.60 xG. Lazio: 11 shots, 1 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Lewis Ferguson · Bologna · 46′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 0.60 xG · Lazio 0.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bologna
1Draws
2Lazio
Bologna — Lazio · Serie A0–0
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A3–0
Bologna — Lazio · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna11 matchesLazio11 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.18 goals/match
0.73 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.18 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.19 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots11/1111.5 shots/match
4.73 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.27 shots/match
53.4% ●Possession11/1151.5%
3.73 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.64 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Nov 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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