Serie A · 2023

Atalanta 1–2 Inter · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Inter

LWDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 1–2.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.041.35
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Atalanta 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Inter): shots 14–10, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.04–1.35, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Inter16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaInterBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match9.36 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.82 corners/match ●CornersAtalanta · Inter5.27 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaInterBaseline
Corners5.82 corners/match5.27 corners/match4.72 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsAtalanta 14 shots, Inter 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsAtalanta 4 shots, Inter 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG1.35 xGAtalanta 1.04 xG, Inter 1.35 xG
  • Possession54%46%Atalanta 54%, Inter 46%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerAtalanta 6 corners, Inter 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsAtalanta 13 fouls, Inter 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 42′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFederico Dimarco · Inter · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFederico Dimarco · Inter · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Acerbi · Inter · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 57′ · 0.04 xG · goalGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMatteo Ruggeri · Atalanta · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Sánchez · Inter · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuis Muriel · Atalanta · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHans Hateboer · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 83′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 81′ · 0.11 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 89′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 61′ · 0.18 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 56′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 40′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.06 xG. Inter: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Gianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 61′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 40′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 1.06 xG · Inter 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atalanta
2Draws
2Inter
Inter — Atalanta · Serie A3–2
Atalanta — Inter · Serie A2–3
Atalanta — Inter · Serie A0–0
Inter — Atalanta · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta11 matchesInter11 matches
1.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 2.45 goals/match
0.91 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.55 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.98 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 16.6 shots/match
5.09 shots/matchShots on target11/115 shots/match
52.4%Possession11/11● 55.4%
5.82 corners/match ●Corners11/115.27 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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