PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Juventus 1–0 Napoli · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Napoli

DWLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 1–0.

Shots
1113
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.091.23
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Napoli 1–0. Recorded in this match (Juventus – Napoli): shots 11–13, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.09–1.23, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsJuventus · Napoli17.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusNapoliBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match17.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Napoli have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.9%PossessionJuventus · Napoli● 59%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricJuventusNapoliBaseline
Possession45.9%59%51.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots13 shotsJuventus 11 shots, Napoli 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotJuventus 2 shots, Napoli 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.09 xG1.23 xGJuventus 1.09 xG, Napoli 1.23 xG
  • Possession34%66%Juventus 34%, Napoli 66%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersJuventus 3 corners, Napoli 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsJuventus 11 fouls, Napoli 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdrien Rabiot · Juventus · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArkadiusz Milik · Juventus · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 88′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Napoli · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStanislav Lobotka · Napoli · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJuan Jesus · Napoli · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Napoli · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 19′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 51′ · 0.13 xG · goalAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 1′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 19′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 18′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 28′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.11 xG. Napoli: 13 shots, 1 on target, 1.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Federico Gatti · Juventus · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 1.11 xG · Napoli 1.26 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventus
1Draws
3Napoli
Juventus — Napoli · Serie A0–1
Napoli — Juventus · Serie A5–1
Juventus — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Napoli — Juventus · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventus favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Napoli in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventus15 matchesNapoli15 matches
1.53 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.73 goals/match
0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.2 goals/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.82 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 17.4 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 5.53 shots/match
45.9%Possession15/15● 59%
4.6 corners/matchCorners15/15● 6.6 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls15/159.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 8 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventusNapoli
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headJuventus — Napoli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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