PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Hellas Verona 1–1 Lazio · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Lazio

WLDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hellas Verona and Lazio drew 1–1.

Shots
514
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
1.081.03
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hellas Verona and Lazio drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Hellas Verona – Lazio): shots 5–14, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 1.08–1.03, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.87 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lazio have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.5%PossessionHellas Verona · Lazio● 53.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaLazioBaseline
Possession45.5%53.9%51.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots14 shotsHellas Verona 5 shots, Lazio 14 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsHellas Verona 1 shot, Lazio 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG1.03 xGHellas Verona 1.08 xG, Lazio 1.03 xG
  • Possession29%71%Hellas Verona 29%, Lazio 71%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersHellas Verona 1 corner, Lazio 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls11 foulsHellas Verona 16 fouls, Lazio 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ciro Immobile · Lazio · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 87′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Hellas Verona · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMario Gila Fuentes · Lazio · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 73′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCiro Immobile · Lazio · 68′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMatías Vecino · Lazio · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMario Gila Fuentes · Lazio · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 23′ · 0.42 xG · goalThomas Henry · Hellas Verona · 70′ · 0.93 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 5 shots, 1 on target, 1.12 xG. Lazio: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Thomas Henry · Hellas Verona · 70′Mattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 23′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 1.12 xG · Lazio 1.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Hellas Verona
2Draws
1Lazio
Hellas Verona — Lazio · Serie A1–1
Lazio — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–0
Lazio — Hellas Verona · Serie A3–3
Hellas Verona — Lazio · Serie A4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hellas Verona favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hellas Verona15 matchesLazio15 matches
0.87 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.07 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.23 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 11.4 shots/match
3.53 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.33 shots/match
45.5%Possession15/15● 53.9%
2.93 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Dec 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHellas VeronaLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headHellas Verona — Lazio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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