Serie A · 2023

Inter 4–0 Udinese · Serie A

Inter

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4–0Historical match

Udinese

DWDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 4–0.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
3.50.8
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Udinese 4–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Udinese): shots 17–11, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 3.5–0.8, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Udinese12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterUdineseBaseline
Shots16 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against9.67 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.9% ●PossessionInter · Udinese41.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterUdineseBaseline
Possession55.9%41.7%51.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsInter 17 shots, Udinese 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotInter 8 shots, Udinese 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.5 xG0.8 xGInter 3.5 xG, Udinese 0.8 xG
  • Possession74%26%Inter 74%, Udinese 26%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerInter 6 corners, Udinese 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsInter 9 fouls, Udinese 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Carlos Augusto · Inter · 71′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYann Bisseck · Inter · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWalace · Udinese · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 84′ · 0.02 xG · goalLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 1′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 42′ · 0.07 xG · goalRoberto Pereyra · Udinese · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 21′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 10′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNehuén Pérez · Udinese · 74′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Pereyra · Udinese · 19′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 22′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 13′ · 0.52 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 45′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 44′ · 0.75 xG · goalHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 37′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 17 shots, 8 on target, 3.54 xG. Udinese: 11 shots, 1 on target, 0.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 37′Federico Dimarco · Inter · 42′Marcus Thuram · Inter · 44′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 3.54 xG · Udinese 0.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter
0Draws
1Udinese
Inter — Udinese · Serie A3–1
Udinese — Inter · Serie A3–1
Udinese — Inter · Serie A1–2
Inter — Udinese · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter15 matchesUdinese15 matches
2.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.8 goals/match
0.47 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.67 goals/match
2.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.26 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots15/1512.4 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.73 shots/match
55.9% ●Possession15/1541.7%
5.13 corners/match ●Corners15/154.73 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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