Serie A · 2023

Monza 0–1 Fiorentina · Serie A

Monza

DDLWL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 0–1.

Shots
714
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.741.98
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Monza 1–0. Recorded in this match (Monza – Fiorentina): shots 7–14, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.74–1.98, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Fiorentina13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaFiorentinaBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsMonza 7 shots, Fiorentina 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsMonza 2 shots, Fiorentina 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.74 xG1.98 xGMonza 0.74 xG, Fiorentina 1.98 xG
  • Possession53%47%Monza 53%, Fiorentina 47%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersMonza 1 corner, Fiorentina 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsMonza 12 fouls, Fiorentina 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lorenzo Amatucci · Fiorentina · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Ciurria · Monza · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntonín Barák · Fiorentina · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Biraghi · Fiorentina · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYerry Mina · Fiorentina · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMichael Kayode · Fiorentina · 28′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNikola Milenković · Fiorentina · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Gagliardini · Monza · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 2′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 13′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 30′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 31′ · 0.15 xG · on targetGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 48′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 9′ · 0.66 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 7′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.76 xG. Fiorentina: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 7′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 0.76 xG · Fiorentina 1.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Monza
1Draws
0Fiorentina
Monza — Fiorentina · Serie A3–2
Fiorentina — Monza · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza17 matchesFiorentina17 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.06 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.25 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots17/1713.6 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.76 shots/match
54.9%Possession17/17● 57.5%
5.47 corners/match ●Corners17/174.88 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 22 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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