PitchMath
Serie A · 2023Fri, 22 Dec 2023, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

Genoa

WLDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSassuoloGenoa
Shots12 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.38 xG/match1.68 xG/match▲
Possession43%57%●
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match●
Fouls11 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Armand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRadu Drăguşin · Genoa · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKoni De Winter · Genoa · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRadu Drăguşin · Genoa · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Toljan · Sassuolo · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRadu Drăguşin · Genoa · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Boloca · Sassuolo · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 3′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatheus Henrique · Sassuolo · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMilan Badelj · Genoa · 52′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 57′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 81′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 79′ · 0.14 xG · on targetKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 7′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 55′ · 0.20 xG · on targetCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 87′ · 0.26 xG · goalAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 28′ · 0.29 xG · goalMatheus Henrique · Sassuolo · 45′ · 0.29 xG · on targetAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 64′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sassuolo: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.32 xG. Genoa: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Andrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 28′Albert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 64′Caleb Ekuban · Genoa · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sassuolo 1.32 xG · Genoa 1.72 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Genoa's last-five shots average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sassuolo
2Draws
0Genoa
Sassuolo — Genoa · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Sassuolo · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sassuolo favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Genoa in 6 · 2 too close

1.47 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 17/171.06 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/17▲1.29 goals/match
1.34 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 17/170.91 xG/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 17/17▲0.95 xG/match
14.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 17/1710.4 shots/match
14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/17▲11 shots/match
4.82 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 17/172.88 shots/match
5.18 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/17▲3.29 shots/match
46.5%●Possessionseason · 17/1743.1%
5.82 corners/match●Cornersseason · 17/173.18 corners/match
5.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/17▲4.59 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1711.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/17▲18%
76%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sassuolo37.5
Genoa12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sassuolo74.2
Genoa15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sassuolo16.7
Genoa65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sassuolo97.5
Genoa37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo7.5
Genoa37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo87.5
Genoa7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sassuolo63.8
Genoa12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sassuolo17 matchesGenoa17 matches
1.47 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.06 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲1.29 goals/match
1.34 xG/match▲Expected goals17/170.91 xG/match
14.1 shots/match▲Shots17/1710.4 shots/match
4.82 shots/match▲Shots on target17/172.88 shots/match
46.5%●Possession17/1743.1%
5.82 corners/match●Corners17/173.18 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sassuolo9 matchesGenoa9 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.78 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.33 goals/match
1.32 xG/match▲Expected goals9/90.92 xG/match
15.3 shots/match▲Shots9/910.4 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target9/92.78 shots/match
46.1%●Possession9/944.8%
6.22 corners/match●Corners9/92.22 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
9.78 fouls/matchFouls9/911.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 22 Dec 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSassuoloGenoa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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